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"article talking about lump sum investing"

Yes. I remember that article. But as I recall (and it was a long time ago), the market had been relatively calm and generally rising during the period in question. It was before the major troubles of 2000 - 2002, and the more recent stuff. If you put up a chart of SPY with distributions re-invested, you can see that from around September 2000 to the present time, SPY has only moved up a little over 13%, or a little over 1%/year compounded. On the other hand, between September 2000 and March 2003, it lost 43%. The decline was worse between Oct. 2007 and March 2009.

With movements like that, it does matter when you buy and sell.
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