UnThreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (1) | Ignore Thread Prev | Next
Author: joegrant413 Two stars, 250 posts Old School Fool CAPS All Star Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 76901  
Subject: Re: The Anti-Motley Fool viewpoint Date: 2/17/1998 10:22 AM
Post New | Post Reply | Reply Later | Create Poll Report this Post | Recommend it!
Recommendations: 0
Just to chime in here. If I have a coin that flipped
heads 8 out of 10 times, you bet I would bet on it
flipping more heads. Sure, philosophers such as Hume
would tell you that experience never absolutely
teaches anything, and good science recognizes the
truth may lie deeper than simple correlation, but in
my real life with my real money, the DOGS approach
makes sense.

Statistics does offer a good way to understand your
chances. A good statistician recognizes when you do have simply correlation, and not causality. So, I'm open to see the statistical argument against this from someone who has examined the data. Otherwise, I am comfortable enough to follow this record of success.

Joe Grant
St. Louis
Post New | Post Reply | Reply Later | Create Poll Report this Post | Recommend it!
Print the post  
UnThreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (1) | Ignore Thread Prev | Next


The Retire Early Home Page
Discussion on accelerating retirement day.
Foolanthropy 2014!
By working with young, first-time moms, Nurse-Family Partnership is able to truly change lives – for generations to come.
When Life Gives You Lemons
We all have had hardships and made poor decisions. The important thing is how we respond and grow. Read the story of a Fool who started from nothing, and looks to gain everything.
Post of the Day:
Macro Economics

Remembrance and Reflections
What was Your Dumbest Investment?
Share it with us -- and learn from others' stories of flubs.
Community Home
Speak Your Mind, Start Your Blog, Rate Your Stocks

Community Team Fools - who are those TMF's?
Contact Us
Contact Customer Service and other Fool departments here.
Work for Fools?
Winner of the Washingtonian great places to work, and Glassdoor #1 Company to Work For 2015! Have access to all of TMF's online and email products for FREE, and be paid for your contributions to TMF! Click the link and start your Fool career.