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Roger D:

I'd love to have results from your simulation. My e-mail address is

The reasons are that a lot of my savings are in large cap stocks, and I am a fan of Harry Dent (author of "the Great Boom Ahead"), a demographer who asserts that the US market will fall from 2008 or so to 2023 because baby boomers will have aged out of the period when they have to feed and clothe and house their children, thus driving consumer spending, thus driving earnings. I'll be evaluating his thinking as time goes on, but the upshot is that I'll have to decide whether or not to sell some of these stocks, which may well have huge cap. gains, pay the tax, and move some funds into fixed income.

So I would be interested to discuss whether or not I'd be better off to just ride out what I think will be a big downturn, or start in 2008 or so reallocating assets.

Thanks - Minna
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