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Author: tpoto Big red star, 1000 posts Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 777  
Subject: Screen CAGR 45 no loss to S&P Date: 2/18/2011 7:46 AM
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One for consideration (2 of my favs put together)

http://backtest.org/8910SS(SS(Fundamentals)(LOWPE_ZLTDA)3m10...

This 12 stock version, shown below with 6 stocks from each of the two screens, will beat the S&P every year.

CAGR 45, GSD 21.

                                    Portfolio       Portfolio
CAGR CAGR CAGR Screen S&P
Year Screen S&P Difference $ 10,000 $ 10,000
1989 66 35 31 16,600 13,500
1990 32 -5 37 21,912 12,825
1991 85 31 54 40,537 16,801
1992 55 7 48 62,833 17,977
1993 69 10 59 106,187 19,774
1994 34 2 32 142,291 20,170
1995 74 39 35 247,586 28,036
1996 25 23 2 309,483 34,485
1997 55 28 27 479,698 44,140
1998 39 35 4 666,780 59,589
1999 64 18 46 1,093,520 70,315
2000 46 -11 57 1,596,539 62,581
2001 97 -9 106 3,145,181 56,949
2002 28 -22 50 4,025,832 44,420
2003 49 28 21 5,998,489 56,857
2004 22 10 12 7,318,157 62,543
2005 35 8 27 9,879,512 67,547
2006 21 14 7 11,954,209 77,003
2007 33 6 27 15,899,098 81,623
2008 -5 -39 34 15,104,143 49,790
2009 76 33 43 26,583,292 66,221
2010 35 13 22 35,887,444 74,830


Fewer deep, say 5 stocks only, will bring the CAGR up to about 50,
but naturally with a higher GSD. Still, $78m...

8910SS(SS(Fundamentals)(LOWPE_ZLTDA)3m10l10)(SWsp(STtb)(SS(Screamers)(PIH_CSO_safe)3m5l10)16p3c-2)10l5
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