|
Recommendations: 3
Hi everyone,
So over the weekend, I got TTM FCF, share count, and recent price data for the over 2800 companies in the Russell 3000 index. I then (automatically!!) generated a predicted price assuming a 5.0 / 2.5 / 0 growth pattern. (Remember, that's shorthand for % CAGR for first five years / % CAGR second five years / Terminal growth rate.)
Then I scanned through the list to see what companies had prices higher than the latest. There were a lot of financial firms -- banks and insurance companies primarily -- on the list, but also a bunch that were in other industries. (I ignored those financial firms.) Microsoft wasn't on the resulting list because the latest numbers are 6.1 / 3.1 / 2.5. But, Oshkosh and Power-One were on the list. (Transocean wasn't though, because it's not a member of the index.)
Here's what came through, and what MUE growth rates are expected at last night's close, at a 15% discount rate.
Company Ticker Expectation Boise BZ -18.9 / -9.5 / 0 Cabela's CAB 2.4 / 1.4 / 0 Dean Foods DF -5.8 / -2.8 / 0 Domtar UFS -14.6 / -8.3 / 0 Dr Pepper DPS -2.7 / -1.4 / 0 Excel Maritime EXM -5.0 / -2.5 / 0 Helen of Troy HELE 0.7 / 0.4 / 0 Kratos Defense KTOS -0.2 / -0.1 / 0 L-3 Comm. LLL -0.4 / -0.2 / 0 Lexmark LXK -1.3 / -0.7 / 0 Micron Tech. MU -15.9 / -7.9 / 0 Noranda Alum. NOR -14.4 / -7.2 / 0 NRG Energy NRG -13.0 / -6.5 / 0 Pulte Group PHM -24.8 /-12.4 / 0 Safeway SWY -2.1 / -1.1 / 0 Sprint Nextel S -7.3 / -3.6 / 0 Sunoco SUN -0.7 / -0.4 / 0 Supervalu SVU -23.9 /-12.0 / 0 Textron TXT -1.6 / -0.8 / 0 Unisys UIS -5.1 / -2.6 / 0 Verizon VZ -4.4 / -2.2 / 0 Western Digital WDC 1.3 / 0.6 / 0
An interesting list and it covers quite a range of industries.
Cheers, Jim
|
|
|
Announcements
|