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Author: LorenCobb Big gold star, 5000 posts Top Favorite Fools Top Recommended Fools Feste Award Nominee! Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 53736  
Subject: Re: Wildfire tracking... Date: 12/13/2012 10:52 AM
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shotzongoal: Evidence... evidence... We don' need no stinkin' evidence!

Evidence of what?

That our mathematics is correct? You can verify that for yourself, all of our work is in the public record. Here are the key papers:

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2951
http://arxiv.org/abs/1102.5554

We actually now have two different ways of proving the convergence result, and a third was found by a French team last year. This leads us to believe that we are on the right track.

Or did you want evidence that higher air temperatures cause the probability of wildfires to increase? That particular idea is backed up by an impressive body of evidence. Wikipedia summarizes the known facts here:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wildfire#Effect_of_weather

Or, if you like, you can refer to the scientific literature:

D McKenzie, Z Gedalof, DL Peterson, and P Mote (2004) "Climatic Change, Wildfire, and Conservation", Conservation Biology, vol 18, pp 890-902. DOI: 10.1111/j.1523-1739.2004.00492.x

Available online at onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1523-1739.2004.00492.x...

Loren
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