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Simple example. Take $1 dollar. Have it grow at 6% for 40 years. At the end of that time, you have $10.29

Take another dollar. Have it grow at 8.5% for 40 years. At the end of that time, you'd have $26.13

That ratio (2.54 to 1) is awfully close to the ratio of the values Ray calculated for the S&P with and without dividends (2.61 to 1). It's in the ballpark, it passes the smell test. It's certainly not unrealistic, as you are implying.

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