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Recommendations: 1
SOLD: *- BOUGHT: JPM Emerging Markets Bond Fund (EMB)
Taxable_Acct. - BroadMarket_Asset_Allocation: SMA_PO SELL: IF( SMA15 < SMA200 & SMA10 < SMA100 ), BUY: IF( SMA5 > SMA50 & SMA10 > SMA100 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 0 of 5 or 0% , COUNTIF( Held ) 3 of 5 or 60% LT Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: FUSEX,FSIIX,FSEMX , Sell: - , Buy: -
Last 15/200 10/100 5/50 TTM TTM Weeks Weeks Weeks Days EndD Ticker Index Price Slow_PO Int_PO Fast_PO NTR Gain(%GL) LastChg H52w L52w Status: Held 13-Dec-12 FSEMX DJ M/S 40.49 3.1% 2.0% 1.9% 19.1% 15.9% 17 13 51 B&H 100 13-Dec-12 FSIIX EAFE 34.47 6.9% 4.5% 3.3% 19.0% 15.2% 18 0 28 B&H 121 13-Dec-12 FUSEX SP500 50.55 2.2% 0.3% 0.8% 18.9% 16.9% 19 13 51 B&H 134 13-Dec-12 FFNOX AA 29.53 3.7% 1.7% 1.4% 16.5% 14.2% 19 13 51 B&H 13-Dec-12 FBIDX USGB 11.91 0.2% -0.3% -0.3% 3.9% 1.1% 19 20 38 SELL
Taxable_Acct. - Tactical_Asset_Rotation: RRS SELL: IF( AvgRank >= 4.0 or SMA25 < SMA100 ), BUY: IF( AvgRank < 3.5 & Pri > LR126 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 1 of 6 or 17% , COUNTIF( Held ) 2 of 6 or 33% LT Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: PRF,PXF , Sell: - , Buy: -
Last 6m 3m 25/100 TTM R6,R3 % off % off 10/50 Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 PO GSDm AvgRank LR126 LR63 PO Status: Held 14-Dec-12 PXF GL:DM 35.80 33% 5% 2.2% 28% 1.5 0.7% 3.2% 2.9% BUY 56 14-Dec-12 PRF US:LC 62.12 18% -8% 0.1% 16% 3.0 -0.9% 1.9% 0.9% HTD 78 14-Dec-12 TLT US:FIT 123.60 -7% 12% 0.5% 16% 3.5 0.7% -1.3% 0.4% HTD 14-Dec-12 PGX US:PF 14.62 3% -3% -0.4% 6% 3.5 -1.5% -0.7% -0.5% Sell 14-Dec-12 DBC GL:Com 27.55 16% -16% -1.2% 24% 4.5 -3.8% 0.5% -0.7% Sell 14-Dec-12 VNQ US:RE 64.65 -5% -13% -2.1% 17% 5.0 0.1% 1.6% 0.6% Sell
Taxable_Acct. - Balanced Trends and Ranks: RRS SELL: IF( RRS63_Rank >= 5 or RRS126 < 0 ), BUY: IF( RRS63_Rank < 4 & RRS21 > 0 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 2 of 14 or 14% , COUNTIF( Held ) 2 of 14 or 14% ST Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: SCZ,ACWX , Sell: - , Buy: -
Last 6m 3m 1m TTM R6,R3 % off % off % off Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 RRS21 GSDm AvgRank LR126 LR63 LR21 Status: Held 14-Dec-12 TLH US:FIT 136.32 -2% 8% -11% 10% 7.5 0.2% -0.9% -0.2% Sell 14-Dec-12 ACWX GL:LCB 41.52 27% 6% 128% 23% 2.5 1.0% 2.9% -0.7% BUY 16 14-Dec-12 SCZ GL:SC 40.25 30% 5% 109% 25% 2.0 0.1% 2.3% -0.7% BUY 51 14-Dec-12 AGG US:FI 111.35 0% -1% -10% 3% 7.5 -0.6% -0.4% 0.0% HTD 14-Dec-12 IWR US:MC 112.08 16% -5% 72% 17% 5.0 -0.6% 1.8% -1.0% Sell 14-Dec-12 DVY US:DIV 57.49 4% -10% 60% 10% 8.0 -0.6% 1.2% -1.2% Sell 14-Dec-12 IYR US:REIT 63.91 -2% -14% 56% 16% 10.0 -0.3% 1.6% -1.1% Sell 14-Dec-12 DBA GLC:AG 28.48 0% -15% -4% 20% 10.0 -2.3% 0.3% -0.5% Sell 14-Dec-12 DBE GLC:ENE 27.25 21% -15% -38% 33% 6.5 -5.0% -0.2% 0.5% Sell 14-Dec-12 IWL US:LC 32.84 10% -17% 61% 16% 8.5 -1.5% 1.8% -1.2% Sell 14-Dec-12 DBP GLC:PM 58.37 30% -18% -24% 25% 6.5 -5.0% -0.3% -0.6% Sell 14-Dec-12 IWM US:SC 82.36 10% -18% 109% 22% 10.0 -0.6% 2.8% -1.6% Sell 14-Dec-12 DBB GLC:BM 19.44 15% -18% 163% 32% 9.5 1.7% 5.4% -1.2% Sell 14-Dec-12 IWC US:Micro 51.03 6% -26% 115% 24% 11.5 -0.7% 3.3% -1.5% Sell
IRA_Acct. - FIDO_Free Trends and Ranks: RRS SELL: IF( RRS63_Rank >= 5 or RRS126 < 0 ), BUY: IF( RRS63_Rank < 4 & RRS21 > 0 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 3 of 13 or 23% , COUNTIF( Held ) 3 of 13 or 23% ST Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: SCZ,EEM,EMB , Sell: - , Buy: EMB
Last 6m 3m 1m TTM R6,R3 % off % off % off Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 RRS21 GSDm AvgRank LR126 LR63 LR21 Status: Held 14-Dec-12 EFA GL:DM 56.08 29% 8% 127% 23% 1.5 0.7% 2.6% -0.9% BUY 14-Dec-12 EEM GL:EM 43.38 24% 7% 142% 27% 3.0 1.7% 3.1% -0.4% BUY 11 14-Dec-12 SCZ GL:SC 40.25 30% 5% 109% 25% 2.0 0.1% 2.3% -0.7% BUY 70 14-Dec-12 EMB GL:FIEM 122.40 15% 5% 18% 8% 5.0 -1.1% 0.0% -0.4% HTD 4 14-Dec-12 IDV GL:Div'd 33.29 26% 4% 114% 23% 4.0 0.0% 2.2% -1.1% Sell 14-Dec-12 LQD US:FIIG 121.13 8% 2% -5% 6% 7.5 -1.4% -0.8% -0.3% Sell 14-Dec-12 HYG US:FIHY 93.26 5% 0% 34% 8% 9.0 0.1% 0.8% -0.6% Sell 14-Dec-12 IJH US:MCB 100.52 17% -1% 85% 19% 6.5 -0.4% 1.6% -1.4% Sell 14-Dec-12 DVY US:Div'd 57.49 4% -10% 60% 10% 10.5 -0.6% 1.2% -1.2% Sell 14-Dec-12 IYR US:REIT 63.91 -2% -14% 56% 16% 11.5 -0.3% 1.6% -1.1% Sell 14-Dec-12 IJR US:SCB 76.29 11% -15% 95% 20% 9.5 -0.9% 2.4% -1.6% Sell 14-Dec-12 IVV US:LCB 142.76 12% -15% 59% 16% 9.5 -1.4% 1.9% -1.1% Sell 14-Dec-12 ONEQ US:LCB 117.26 5% -25% 61% 22% 11.5 -2.2% 2.1% -1.8% Sell
Shortables Trends and Ranks: RRS BUY to Cover: IF( AvgRank < 4.5 or RRS42 > 0 ), SELL Short: IF( AvgRank >= 5.5 & Pri < LR42 ) COUNTIF( Sell ) 1 of 10 or 10% , COUNTIF( Held ) 0 of 10 or 0% Holdings: - , Sell: - , Buy: -
Last 3m 2m 1m TTM R3,R2,R1 % off % off % off Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS63 RRS42 RRS21 GSDm AvgRank LR63 LR42 LR21 Status: Held 14-Dec-12 QQQ US:LCB 64.69 -30% -10% 50% 23% 9.0 2.2% 0.4% -1.9% HTD 14-Dec-12 IVW US:LCG 75.60 -19% -7% 41% 15% 8.7 1.5% 0.5% -1.3% HTD 14-Dec-12 LQD US:FIIG 121.13 2% -6% -5% 6% 7.0 -0.8% -0.2% -0.3% SELL 14-Dec-12 IYR US:REIT 63.91 -14% -5% 56% 16% 6.3 1.6% 0.9% -1.1% HTD 14-Dec-12 IVV US:LCB 142.76 -15% -5% 59% 16% 6.0 1.9% 1.0% -1.1% HTD 14-Dec-12 HYG US:FIHY 93.26 0% 3% 34% 8% 5.7 0.8% 0.5% -0.6% Buy 14-Dec-12 IWM US:SCB 82.36 -18% 1% 109% 22% 5.3 2.8% 1.3% -1.6% Buy 14-Dec-12 IJH US:MCB 100.52 -1% 15% 85% 19% 4.0 1.6% 0.5% -1.4% Buy 14-Dec-12 EEM GL:EM 43.38 7% 23% 142% 27% 1.7 3.1% 2.2% -0.4% Buy 14-Dec-12 EFA GL:DM 56.08 8% 26% 127% 23% 1.3 2.6% 1.5% -0.9% Buy
Notes: Last modified 9/28/2012. Universe: Selected ETF's from Fidelity's List with at least 1-year of history. Non-traditional ETFs/ETNs/Holders are excluded. Strategy / Conditions: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1) Apply a mechanical trend analysis model for trading ETF's that outperforms a buy and hold strategy. 2) Each group Backtested with DAILY data. http://www.etfscreen.com 3) The Regression Relative Strength (RRSx) is the Log-price regression SLOPE of each ETF, then Annualized. 4) The final sort is the RRSx Ranks, where R6, R3, R2 or R1 are rankings of monthly lookback periods. 5) LRxx is the last price on Linear Regression Trend line - TREND(). Included as a tie breaker. 6) Buy, Sell and HTD criteria are as noted. Set Trailing Stops @ ATR when Ranking status is HTD condition. 7) Go to cash when the specified number to hold are not available. 8) Historic prices are Non-dividend adjusted values. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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