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Recommendations: 1
SOLD: *- BOUGHT: MSCI EAFE Small Cap Index (SCZ)
Taxable_Acct. - BroadMarket_Asset_Allocation: SMA_PO SELL: IF( SMA20 < SMA200 & SMA10 < SMA100 ), BUY: IF( SMA5 > SMA50 & SMA10 > SMA100 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 4 of 5 or 80% , COUNTIF( Held ) 3 of 5 or 60% LT Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: FUSEX,FSIIX,FSEMX , Sell: - , Buy: -
Last 20/200 10/100 5/50 TTM TTM Weeks Weeks Weeks Days EndD Ticker Index Price Slow_PO Int_PO Fast_PO NTR Gain(%GL) LastChg H52w L52w Status: Held 25-Oct-12 FUSEX SP500 50.11 4.5% 2.4% -1.2% 12.0% 10.1% 12 6 48 BUY 86 25-Oct-12 FSEMX DJ M/S 39.61 2.9% 2.6% -1.0% 9.0% 5.7% 10 6 48 BUY 52 25-Oct-12 FFNOX AA 29.04 4.4% 3.1% -0.3% 7.6% 5.3% 12 6 48 BUY 25-Oct-12 FBIDX USGB 11.90 0.7% -0.4% -0.5% 5.1% 2.3% 12 13 52 SELL 25-Oct-12 FSIIX EAFE 33.17 4.7% 5.2% 0.9% 0.8% -3.0% 11 52 21 BUY 73
Taxable_Acct. - Tactical_Asset_Rotation: RRS SELL: IF( AvgRank >= 4.0 or SMA30 < SMA100 ), BUY: IF( AvgRank < 3.5 & Pri > LR126 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 0 of 6 or 0% , COUNTIF( Held ) 3 of 6 or 50% LT Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: DBC,PRF,PXF , Sell: - , Buy: -
Last 6m 3m 1m TTM R6,R3 % off % off 30/100 Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 RRS21 GSDm AvgRank LR126 LR63 PO Status: Held 26-Oct-12 PXF GL:DM 34.26 29% 39% 19% 21% 1.5 -0.6% -2.2% 5.4% HTD 8 26-Oct-12 DBC GL:Com 27.58 30% 5% -40% 18% 2.0 -4.8% -3.3% 3.3% HTD 39 26-Oct-12 PRF US:LC 61.11 26% 26% -9% 12% 2.5 -2.3% -2.7% 3.9% HTD 30 26-Oct-12 PGX US:PF 14.80 10% 4% -1% 5% 4.0 -1.1% -0.4% 0.8% Sell 26-Oct-12 VNQ US:RE 63.76 8% -11% -6% 14% 5.0 -4.2% -2.1% -0.4% Sell 26-Oct-12 TLT US:FIT 122.64 -1% -15% -24% 12% 6.0 -1.2% 1.1% -2.2% Sell
Taxable_Acct. - Balanced Trends and Ranks: RRS SELL: IF( RRS63_Rank >= 5 or RRS126 < 0 ), BUY: IF( RRS63_Rank < 4 & RRS21 > 0 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 1 of 15 or 7% , COUNTIF( Held ) 2 of 15 or 13% ST Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: DBP,SCZ , Sell: - , Buy: SCZ
Last 6m 3m 1m TTM R6,R3 % off % off % off Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 RRS21 GSDm AvgRank LR126 LR63 LR21 Status: Held 26-Oct-12 DBP GLC:PM 58.92 31% 66% -54% 21% 1.5 -2.6% -5.5% 0.4% HTD 21 26-Oct-12 DBB GLC:BM 17.96 5% 46% -75% 23% 7.5 -4.0% -7.8% 0.3% HTD 26-Oct-12 SCZ GL:SC 39.13 22% 45% 15% 19% 5.5 0.9% -1.7% -0.3% BUY 3 26-Oct-12 IWC US:Micro 50.77 24% 31% -47% 17% 3.5 -3.8% -4.4% -0.1% HTD 26-Oct-12 ACWX GL:LCB 39.58 23% 29% 3% 18% 5.0 -0.9% -2.0% -0.6% Sell 26-Oct-12 EEM GL:EM 41.21 19% 26% -6% 21% 7.5 -0.5% -1.8% -0.6% Sell 26-Oct-12 IWM US:SC 81.14 22% 23% -33% 16% 7.0 -3.4% -3.8% -0.5% Sell 26-Oct-12 IWR US:MC 109.36 19% 19% -15% 13% 9.0 -2.3% -2.8% -0.8% Sell 26-Oct-12 IWL US:LC 32.83 23% 15% -25% 11% 7.5 -2.8% -2.6% -0.4% Sell 26-Oct-12 DVY US:DIV 57.60 15% 7% -4% 7% 10.5 -1.8% -1.2% -0.6% Sell 26-Oct-12 DBE GLC:ENE 27.54 23% 5% -32% 24% 7.5 -3.6% -3.3% -1.1% Sell 26-Oct-12 AGG US:FI 112.03 3% 1% -4% 2% 13.0 -0.3% 0.0% 0.1% Sell 26-Oct-12 IYR US:REIT 63.29 12% -6% -7% 13% 12.5 -3.9% -2.0% -1.3% Sell 26-Oct-12 TLH US:FIT 135.32 -1% -6% -19% 7% 14.5 -0.7% 0.3% 0.7% Sell 26-Oct-12 DBA GLC:AG 28.81 32% -16% -17% 16% 8.0 -5.7% -0.9% -0.4% Sell
IRA_Acct. - FIDO_Free Trends and Ranks: RRS SELL: IF( RRS63_Rank >= 5 or RRS126 < 0 ), BUY: IF( RRS63_Rank < 4 & RRS21 > 0 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 2 of 13 or 15% , COUNTIF( Held ) 3 of 13 or 23% ST Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: SCZ,EFA,IDV , Sell: IDV , Buy: -
Last 6m 3m 1m TTM R6,R3 % off % off % off Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 RRS21 GSDm AvgRank LR126 LR63 LR21 Status: Held 26-Oct-12 SCZ GL:SC 39.13 22% 45% 15% 19% 3.0 0.9% -1.7% -0.3% BUY 22 26-Oct-12 EFA GL:DM 53.62 25% 31% 15% 17% 2.0 -0.7% -1.9% -0.8% BUY 22 26-Oct-12 EEM GL:EM 41.21 19% 26% -6% 21% 5.5 -0.5% -1.8% -0.6% HTD 26-Oct-12 IDV GL:Div'd 32.36 30% 22% 24% 17% 2.5 -1.1% -1.2% -0.6% HTD 22 26-Oct-12 IJH US:MCB 97.49 17% 18% -10% 14% 7.0 -2.1% -2.7% -0.7% Sell 26-Oct-12 EMB GL:FIEM 121.80 24% 18% 17% 7% 4.5 -1.2% -0.8% -0.8% Sell 26-Oct-12 IJR US:SCB 74.89 21% 17% -33% 15% 6.5 -3.5% -3.6% -0.3% Sell 26-Oct-12 IVV US:LCB 141.93 24% 16% -25% 11% 6.0 -3.1% -2.9% -0.7% Sell 26-Oct-12 LQD US:FIIG 122.64 13% 12% 12% 5% 10.0 0.0% 0.1% -0.2% Sell 26-Oct-12 ONEQ US:LCB 117.84 21% 8% -47% 15% 8.5 -4.2% -3.6% 0.2% Sell 26-Oct-12 DVY US:Div'd 57.60 15% 7% -4% 7% 10.5 -1.8% -1.2% -0.6% Sell 26-Oct-12 HYG US:FIHY 92.48 11% 7% 14% 7% 12.5 -1.0% -0.6% -0.6% Sell 26-Oct-12 IYR US:REIT 63.29 12% -6% -7% 13% 12.5 -3.9% -2.0% -1.3% Sell
Shortables Trends and Ranks: RRS BUY to Cover: IF( AvgRank < 4.5 or RRS21 > 0 ), SELL Short: IF( AvgRank >= 5.5 & Pri < LR63 ) COUNTIF( Sell ) 6 of 10 or 60% , COUNTIF( Held ) 0 of 10 or 0% Holdings: - , Sell: - , Buy: -
Last 3m 2m 1m TTM R3,R2,R1 % off % off % off Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS63 RRS42 RRS21 GSDm AvgRank LR63 LR42 LR21 Status: Held 26-Oct-12 QQQ US:LCB 65.35 3% -26% -52% 16% 9.7 -4.0% -1.8% 0.1% SELL 26-Oct-12 IYR US:REIT 63.29 -6% -23% -7% 13% 8.0 -2.0% -0.8% -1.3% SELL 26-Oct-12 IVW US:LCG 75.70 11% -8% -35% 10% 7.3 -3.1% -2.0% -0.5% SELL 26-Oct-12 IWM US:SCB 81.14 23% -11% -33% 16% 6.3 -3.8% -1.8% -0.5% SELL 26-Oct-12 IJH US:MCB 97.49 18% -9% -10% 14% 5.7 -2.7% -1.0% -0.7% SELL 26-Oct-12 IVV US:LCB 141.93 16% 0% -25% 11% 5.7 -2.9% -1.9% -0.7% SELL 26-Oct-12 HYG US:FIHY 92.48 7% 1% 14% 7% 4.7 -0.6% -0.3% -0.6% Buy 26-Oct-12 LQD US:FIIG 122.64 12% 19% 12% 5% 4.0 0.1% -0.3% -0.2% Buy 26-Oct-12 EEM GL:EM 41.21 26% 33% -6% 21% 2.3 -1.8% -2.1% -0.6% Buy 26-Oct-12 EFA GL:DM 53.62 31% 19% 15% 17% 1.3 -1.9% -1.3% -0.8% Buy
Notes: Last modified 9/28/2012. Universe: Selected ETF's from Fidelity's List with at least 1-year of history. Non-traditional ETFs/ETNs/Holders are excluded. Strategy / Conditions: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1) Apply a mechanical trend analysis model for trading ETF's that outperforms a buy and hold strategy. 2) Each group Backtested with DAILY data. http://www.etfscreen.com 3) The Regression Relative Strength (RRSx) is the Log-price regression SLOPE of each ETF, then Annualized. 4) The final sort is the RRSx Ranks, where R6, R3, R2 or R1 are rankings of monthly lookback periods. 5) LRxx is the last price on Linear Regression Trend line - TREND(). Included as a tie breaker. 6) Buy, Sell and HTD criteria are as noted. Set Trailing Stops @ ATR when Ranking status is HTD condition. 7) Go to cash when the specified number to hold are not available. 8) Historic prices are Non-dividend adjusted values. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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