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Recommendations: 1
SOLD: *- BOUGHT: *-
Taxable_Acct. - BroadMarket_Asset_Allocation: SMA_PO SELL: IF( SMA15 < SMA200 & SMA10 < SMA100 ), BUY: IF( SMA5 > SMA50 & SMA10 > SMA100 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 0 of 5 or 0% , COUNTIF( Held ) 3 of 5 or 60% LT Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: FUSVX,FSIVX,FSEVX , Sell: - , Buy: -
Last SlowPO IntPO FastPO TTM TTM Weeks Weeks Weeks Days EndD Ticker Index Price 15/200 10/100 5/50 NTR Gain(%GL) LastChg H52w L52w Status: Held 27-Dec-12 FSIVX EAFE 34.18 6.7% 2.8% 1.7% 22.1% 15.6% 20 2 30 B&H 135 27-Dec-12 FFNOX AA 29.73 4.6% 2.2% 1.8% 16.7% 14.4% 21 1 52 B&H 27-Dec-12 FSEVX DJ M/S 39.45 2.1% -0.5% -0.4% 15.6% 10.8% 19 15 52 B&H 114 27-Dec-12 FUSVX SP500 50.20 2.4% 0.1% 0.4% 15.4% 12.4% 21 15 52 B&H 148 27-Dec-12 FSITX USGB 11.90 -0.1% -0.6% -0.3% 4.0% 1.1% 21 22 40 SELL
Taxable_Acct. - Tactical_Asset_Rotation: RRS SELL: IF( AvgRank >= 4.0 or SMA25 < SMA100 ), BUY: IF( AvgRank < 3.5 & SMA5 > SMA50 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 2 of 6 or 33% , COUNTIF( Held ) 2 of 6 or 33% LT Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: PRF,PXF , Sell: - , Buy: -
Last 6m 3m TTM R6,R3 % off % off SlowPO FastPO` Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 GSDm AvgRank LR126 LR63 25/100 5/50 Status: Held 28-Dec-12 PXF GL:DM 35.84 33% 27% 28% 1.0 -0.4% 0.4% 3.7% 3.6% BUY 70 28-Dec-12 PRF US:LC 61.40 15% 1% 16% 2.5 -2.2% -0.5% 1.1% 0.8% BUY 92 28-Dec-12 TLT US:FIT 123.31 -8% 1% 16% 4.0 1.0% -0.3% 0.0% -0.8% Sell 28-Dec-12 VNQ US:RE 65.11 -7% 1% 17% 4.5 1.1% 0.6% -0.7% 1.4% Sell 28-Dec-12 DBC GL:Com 27.63 5% -13% 24% 4.5 -1.9% 0.8% -1.4% -0.4% Sell 28-Dec-12 PGX US:PF 14.64 0% -7% 6% 4.5 -0.8% 0.0% -0.5% -0.8% Sell
Taxable_Acct. - Balanced Trends and Ranks: RRS SELL: IF( RRS63_Rank >= 5 or RRS126 < 0 ), BUY: IF( RRS63_Rank < 4 & RRS21 > 0 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 3 of 13 or 23% , COUNTIF( Held ) 2 of 13 or 15% ST Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: SCZ,ACWX , Sell: - , Buy: IWR
Last 6m 3m 1m TTM R6,R3 % off % off % off Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 RRS21 GSDm AvgRank LR126 LR63 LR21 Status: Held 28-Dec-12 ACWX GL:LCB 41.38 27% 23% 39% 23% 1.5 -0.3% 0.3% -1.1% BUY 30 28-Dec-12 SCZ GL:SC 40.18 30% 16% 29% 24% 1.5 -0.8% 0.5% -0.7% BUY 65 28-Dec-12 IWR US:MC 111.18 14% 6% 15% 17% 4.0 -1.7% -0.5% -1.6% BUY 28-Dec-12 DBB GLC:BM 19.02 15% 2% -8% 30% 4.0 -0.9% 0.8% -0.7% HTD 28-Dec-12 TLH US:FIT 136.20 -3% 2% -22% 10% 8.0 0.4% -0.3% 1.0% Sell 28-Dec-12 IWM US:SC 82.53 8% -1% 26% 21% 6.5 -0.6% 0.8% -1.4% Sell 28-Dec-12 IYR US:REIT 64.08 -5% -2% 17% 16% 9.5 0.5% 0.5% -0.8% Sell 28-Dec-12 AGG US:FI 111.28 -1% -4% -11% 3% 9.0 -0.4% 0.0% 0.4% Sell 28-Dec-12 IWC US:Micro 51.21 4% -11% 24% 24% 9.0 -0.4% 1.7% -1.2% Sell 28-Dec-12 IWL US:LC 31.96 6% -12% -22% 15% 9.0 -3.5% -1.0% -1.4% Sell 28-Dec-12 DBE GLC:ENE 27.89 10% -12% 8% 32% 8.5 -1.4% 1.9% 0.9% Sell 28-Dec-12 DBA GLC:AG 28.06 -10% -13% -34% 20% 12.5 -1.6% -0.7% 0.2% Sell 28-Dec-12 DBP GLC:PM 56.55 22% -24% -54% 25% 8.0 -6.8% -1.4% 0.6% Sell
IRA_Acct. - FIDO_Free Trends and Ranks: RRS SELL: IF( RRS63_Rank >= 5 or RRS126 < 0 ), BUY: IF( RRS63_Rank < 4 & RRS21 > 0 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 3 of 13 or 23% , COUNTIF( Held ) 3 of 13 or 23% ST Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: SCZ,EEM,EFA , Sell: SCZ , Buy: IDV
Last 6m 3m 1m TTM R6,R3 % off % off % off Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 RRS21 GSDm AvgRank LR126 LR63 LR21 Status: Held 28-Dec-12 EFA GL:DM 56.01 29% 26% 38% 23% 1.5 -0.4% 0.1% -1.1% BUY 11 28-Dec-12 EEM GL:EM 43.70 25% 22% 70% 26% 2.5 1.3% 1.6% -0.6% BUY 25 28-Dec-12 IDV GL:Div'd 33.04 23% 18% 24% 23% 3.5 -1.2% -0.4% -1.3% BUY 28-Dec-12 SCZ GL:SC 40.18 30% 16% 29% 24% 2.5 -0.8% 0.5% -0.7% HTD 84 28-Dec-12 IJH US:MCB 100.15 15% 13% 16% 18% 5.0 -1.2% -0.6% -1.4% Sell 28-Dec-12 HYG US:FIHY 92.95 4% 5% 2% 8% 8.0 -0.3% -0.2% -0.5% Sell 28-Dec-12 EMB GL:FIEM 122.75 12% 4% 1% 8% 6.5 -0.8% 0.2% 0.1% Sell 28-Dec-12 IJR US:SCB 76.64 9% 2% 23% 20% 7.5 -0.5% 0.6% -1.2% Sell 28-Dec-12 IYR US:REIT 64.08 -5% -2% 17% 16% 11.0 0.5% 0.5% -0.8% Sell 28-Dec-12 LQD US:FIIG 121.63 5% -3% -10% 6% 9.5 -0.7% 0.2% 0.6% Sell 28-Dec-12 DVY US:Div'd 56.41 1% -6% -12% 10% 11.5 -2.0% -1.0% -1.5% Sell 28-Dec-12 IVV US:LCB 140.64 8% -7% -1% 15% 10.0 -2.6% -0.5% -1.6% Sell 28-Dec-12 ONEQ US:LCB 116.64 2% -13% -7% 21% 12.0 -2.2% 0.2% -1.2% Sell
Shortables Trends and Ranks: RRS BUY to Cover: IF( AvgRank < 4.5 or RRS42 > 0 ), SELL Short: IF( AvgRank >= 5.5 & Pri < LR42 ) COUNTIF( Sell ) 0 of 10 or 0% , COUNTIF( Held ) 0 of 10 or 0% Holdings: - , Sell: - , Buy: -
Last 3m 2m 1m TTM R3,R2,R1 % off % off % off Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS63 RRS42 RRS21 GSDm AvgRank LR63 LR42 LR21 Status: Held 28-Dec-12 QQQ US:LCB 63.78 -19% 10% -20% 22% 9.3 -0.2% -2.3% -1.4% Buy 28-Dec-12 IVW US:LCG 74.39 -12% 9% -15% 15% 9.0 -0.6% -2.0% -1.3% Buy 28-Dec-12 LQD US:FIIG 121.63 -3% -6% -10% 6% 8.3 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% HTD 28-Dec-12 IVV US:LCB 140.64 -7% 16% -1% 15% 6.7 -0.5% -1.9% -1.6% Buy 28-Dec-12 HYG US:FIHY 92.95 5% 14% 2% 8% 5.7 -0.2% -0.7% -0.5% Buy 28-Dec-12 IYR US:REIT 64.08 -2% 15% 17% 16% 5.3 0.5% -0.5% -0.8% Buy 28-Dec-12 IJH US:MCB 100.15 13% 34% 16% 18% 4.0 -0.6% -1.7% -1.4% Buy 28-Dec-12 IWM US:SCB 82.53 -1% 37% 26% 21% 3.7 0.8% -1.3% -1.4% Buy 28-Dec-12 EEM GL:EM 43.70 22% 55% 70% 26% 1.7 1.6% 0.1% -0.6% Buy 28-Dec-12 EFA GL:DM 56.01 26% 59% 38% 23% 1.3 0.1% -1.3% -1.1% Buy
Notes: Last modified 9/28/2012. Universe: Selected ETF's from Fidelity's List with at least 1-year of history. Non-traditional ETFs/ETNs/Holders are excluded. Strategy / Conditions: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1) Apply a mechanical trend analysis model for trading ETF's that outperforms a buy and hold strategy. 2) Each group Backtested with DAILY data. http://www.etfscreen.com 3) The Regression Relative Strength (RRSx) is the Log-price regression SLOPE of each ETF, then Annualized. 4) The final sort is the RRSx Ranks, where R6, R3, R2 or R1 are rankings of monthly lookback periods. 5) LRxx is the last price on Linear Regression Trend line - TREND(). Included as a tie breaker. 6) Buy, Sell and HTD criteria are as noted. Set Trailing Stops @ ATR when Ranking status is HTD condition. 7) Go to cash when the specified number to hold are not available. 8) Historic prices are Non-dividend adjusted values. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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