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Recommendations: 2
SOLD: MSCI EAFE (EFA)
BOUGHT: *-
Taxable_Acct. - BroadMarket_Asset_Allocation: PO SELL: IF( SMA40 < SMA200 & SMA15 < SMA150 ), BUY: IF( SMA15 > SMA150 & SMA5 > SMA100 ) COUNTIF( B&H ) 4 of 5 or 80% , COUNTIF( Held ) 3 of 5 or 60% LT Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: FUSVX,FSIVX,FSEVX , Sell: - , Buy: -
Last SlowPO IntPO FastPO TTM TTM Weeks Weeks Weeks Days EndD Ticker Index Price 40/200 15/150 5/100 NTR %GL LastChg H52w L52w Status: Held 14-Feb-13 FSIVX EAFE 35.46 7.9% 6.9% 4.3% 15.1% 8.6% 27 2 37 B&H 182 14-Feb-13 FUSVX SP500 54.00 4.9% 5.6% 5.2% 14.2% 12.1% 59 0 37 B&H 195 14-Feb-13 FSEVX DJ M/S 43.65 5.8% 7.4% 6.9% 13.4% 8.6% 25 0 36 B&H 161 14-Feb-13 FSRRX SRR 9.75 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 5.7% 2.5% 30 22 37 B&H 14-Feb-13 FSITX USAB 11.79 -0.8% -1.3% -1.1% 3.3% -0.2% 5 29 47 SELL
Taxable_Acct. - Tactical_Asset_Rotation: RRS + PO SELL: IF( AvgRank >= 4.0 or SMA30 < SMA100 ), BUY: IF( AvgRank < 3.5 & SMA5 > SMA100 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 3 of 6 or 50% , COUNTIF( Held ) 3 of 6 or 50% LT Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: PRF,PXF,VNQ , Sell: - , Buy: -
Last 6m 3m TTM R6,R3 % off % off SlowPO FastPO` Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 GSDm AvgRank LR126 LR63 30/100 5/100 Status: Held 15-Feb-13 PRF US:LC 67.63 21% 66% 16% 1.5 3.1% -0.4% 4.8% 7.2% BUY 139 15-Feb-13 PXF GL:DM 37.43 32% 62% 26% 1.5 -0.7% -3.0% 5.5% 5.7% BUY 117 15-Feb-13 VNQ US:RE 69.24 6% 50% 15% 3.0 3.2% -0.9% 3.7% 5.2% BUY 11 15-Feb-13 DBC GL:Com 28.35 -5% 11% 23% 4.5 2.1% 0.2% 0.5% 1.7% Sell 15-Feb-13 PGX US:PF 14.78 0% 5% 5% 4.5 -0.1% -0.5% 0.3% 0.2% Sell 15-Feb-13 TLT US:FIT 116.50 -10% -29% 17% 6.0 -2.0% 0.8% -3.0% -4.2% Sell
Taxable_Acct. - Balanced Trends and Ranks: RRS SELL: IF( RRS63_Rank >= 5 or RRS126 < 0 ), BUY: IF( RRS63_Rank < 4 & RRS21 > 0 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 3 of 13 or 23% , COUNTIF( Held ) 3 of 13 or 23% ST Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: IWR,IWM,IWC , Sell: - , Buy: -
Last 6m 3m 1m TTM R6,R3 % off % off % off Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 RRS21 GSDm AvgRank LR126 LR63 LR21 Status: Held 15-Feb-13 IWM US:SC 91.74 20% 87% 51% 20% 2.5 4.3% -0.6% 0.1% BUY 30 15-Feb-13 IWC US:Micro 56.53 16% 85% 51% 22% 3.5 4.1% -0.9% 0.0% BUY 11 15-Feb-13 IWR US:MC 123.31 23% 73% 58% 17% 3.0 3.6% -0.3% -0.4% BUY 42 15-Feb-13 SCZ GL:SC 42.85 31% 62% 30% 22% 2.5 1.0% -1.3% -0.4% HTD 15-Feb-13 IYR US:REIT 68.21 7% 49% 13% 15% 6.0 2.9% -0.9% 0.1% Sell 15-Feb-13 ACWX GL:LCB 42.86 27% 45% -1% 21% 4.0 -0.4% -2.0% -0.2% Sell 15-Feb-13 DBE GLC:ENE 29.80 2% 39% 89% 31% 8.0 4.7% 1.1% -1.0% Sell 15-Feb-13 IWL US:LC 34.52 5% 36% 31% 15% 8.0 2.7% -0.1% -0.3% Sell 15-Feb-13 DBB GLC:BM 19.73 10% 21% 76% 27% 7.5 1.8% 0.7% -0.6% Sell 15-Feb-13 AGG US:FI 110.25 -3% -7% -8% 3% 10.0 -0.3% 0.2% 0.2% Sell 15-Feb-13 TLH US:FIT 131.93 -5% -19% -19% 10% 11.0 -1.2% 0.6% 0.5% Sell 15-Feb-13 DBP GLC:PM 54.95 -9% -22% -38% 22% 12.0 -4.0% -2.0% -1.8% Sell 15-Feb-13 DBA GLC:AG 26.49 -20% -25% -47% 20% 13.0 -2.5% -1.9% -0.6% Sell
IRA_Acct. - FIDO_Free Trends and Ranks: RRS SELL: IF( RRS63_Rank >= 5 or RRS126 < 0 ), BUY: IF( RRS63_Rank < 4 & RRS21 > 0 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 3 of 13 or 23% , COUNTIF( Held ) 2 of 13 or 15% ST Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: IJR,IJH , Sell: EFA , Buy: SCZ
Last 6m 3m 1m TTM R6,R3 % off % off % off Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 RRS21 GSDm AvgRank LR126 LR63 LR21 Status: Held 15-Feb-13 IJR US:SCB 84.79 19% 82% 48% 19% 3.5 4.1% -0.6% 0.0% BUY 22 15-Feb-13 IJH US:MCB 111.47 26% 80% 60% 17% 2.5 3.6% -0.4% -0.3% BUY 17 15-Feb-13 SCZ GL:SC 42.85 31% 62% 30% 22% 2.0 1.0% -1.3% -0.4% BUY 15-Feb-13 EFA GL:DM 58.43 29% 51% 3% 21% 3.0 -0.3% -2.2% -0.5% HTD 15-Feb-13 IVV US:LCB 152.95 10% 49% 37% 15% 6.0 3.0% -0.4% -0.3% Sell 15-Feb-13 IYR US:REIT 68.21 7% 49% 13% 15% 7.5 2.9% -0.9% 0.1% Sell 15-Feb-13 IDV GL:Div'd 34.83 22% 48% -2% 22% 6.0 0.7% -1.5% 0.2% Sell 15-Feb-13 ONEQ US:LCB 125.35 2% 44% 28% 19% 10.0 3.3% -0.7% -0.2% Sell 15-Feb-13 DVY US:Div'd 60.88 8% 38% 39% 11% 8.5 2.9% 0.1% -0.2% Sell 15-Feb-13 EEM GL:EM 43.99 26% 36% -17% 23% 7.0 -1.5% -2.4% 0.4% Sell 15-Feb-13 HYG US:FIHY 93.42 4% 7% -22% 8% 10.5 -0.6% -0.9% 0.6% Sell 15-Feb-13 EMB GL:FIEM 119.16 2% -9% -28% 9% 11.5 -2.2% -0.8% 0.5% Sell 15-Feb-13 LQD US:FIIG 119.33 -1% -10% -15% 6% 13.0 -1.2% 0.1% 0.4% Sell
Shortables Trends and Ranks: RRS BUY to Cover: IF( AvgRank < 4.5 or RRS21 > 0 ), SELL Short: IF( AvgRank >= 5.5 & Pri < LR42 ) COUNTIF( Sell ) 2 of 10 or 20% , COUNTIF( Held ) 0 of 10 or 0% Holdings: - , Sell: - , Buy: -
Last 3m 2m 1m TTM R3,R2,R1 % off % off % off Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS63 RRS42 RRS21 GSDm AvgRank LR63 LR42 LR21 Status: Held 15-Feb-13 HYG US:FIHY 93.42 7% -2% -22% 8% 9.3 -0.9% -0.3% 0.6% SELL 15-Feb-13 LQD US:FIIG 119.33 -10% -11% -15% 6% 9.3 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% HTD 15-Feb-13 EEM GL:EM 43.99 36% 3% -17% 23% 7.7 -2.4% -0.6% 0.4% SELL 15-Feb-13 QQQ US:LCB 67.75 27% 26% 18% 20% 6.7 -0.5% -0.4% -0.1% Buy 15-Feb-13 EFA GL:DM 58.43 51% 34% 3% 21% 5.3 -2.2% -1.4% -0.5% Buy 15-Feb-13 IVW US:LCG 80.02 34% 42% 27% 14% 5.3 -0.1% -0.4% 0.0% Buy 15-Feb-13 IYR US:REIT 68.21 49% 48% 13% 15% 5.0 -0.9% -0.9% 0.1% Buy 15-Feb-13 IVV US:LCB 152.95 49% 56% 37% 15% 3.3 -0.4% -0.7% -0.3% Buy 15-Feb-13 IWM US:SCB 91.74 87% 81% 51% 20% 1.7 -0.6% -0.5% 0.1% Buy 15-Feb-13 IJH US:MCB 111.47 80% 89% 60% 17% 1.3 -0.4% -0.8% -0.3% Buy
Notes: Last modified 9/28/2012. Universe: Selected ETF's from Fidelity's List with at least 1-year of history. Non-traditional ETFs/ETNs/Holders are excluded. Strategy / Conditions: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1) Apply a mechanical trend analysis model for trading ETF's that outperforms a buy and hold strategy. 2) Each group Backtested with DAILY data. http://www.etfscreen.com 3) The Regression Relative Strength (RRSx) is the Log-price regression SLOPE of each ETF, then Annualized. 4) The final sort is the RRSx Ranks, where R6, R3, R2 or R1 are rankings of monthly lookback periods. 5) LRxx is the last price on Linear Regression Trend line - TREND(). Included as a tie breaker. 6) Buy, Sell and HTD criteria are as noted. Set Trailing Stops @ ATR when Ranking status is HTD condition. 7) Go to cash when the specified number to hold are not available. 8) Historic prices are Non-dividend adjusted values. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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