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Recommendations: 2
SOLD: MSCI EAFE (EFA) PowerShares DB Commodity Index (DBC)
BOUGHT: *-
Taxable_Acct. - BroadMarket_Asset_Allocation: SMA_PO SELL: IF( SMA20 < SMA200 & SMA10 < SMA100 ), BUY: IF( SMA5 > SMA50 & SMA10 > SMA100 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 4 of 5 or 80% , COUNTIF( Held ) 3 of 5 or 60% LT Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: FUSEX,FSIIX,FSEMX , Sell: - , Buy: -
Last 20/200 10/100 5/50 TTM TTM Weeks Weeks Weeks Days EndD Ticker Index Price Slow_PO Int_PO Fast_PO NTR Gain(%GL) LastChg H52w L52w Status: Held 15-Nov-12 FUSEX SP500 48.09 1.0% -2.1% -4.9% 13.4% 11.4% 15 9 51 BUY 106 15-Nov-12 FFNOX AA 28.14 2.0% -0.6% -3.4% 10.6% 8.3% 15 9 51 BUY 15-Nov-12 FSEMX DJ M/S 37.90 0.4% -1.4% -4.8% 10.4% 7.2% 13 9 51 BUY 72 15-Nov-12 FSIIX EAFE 32.22 3.3% 1.1% -2.6% 9.4% 5.7% 14 9 24 BUY 93 15-Nov-12 FBIDX USGB 11.96 0.3% -0.2% -0.1% 4.6% 1.8% 15 16 34 SELL
Taxable_Acct. - Tactical_Asset_Rotation: RRS SELL: IF( AvgRank >= 4.0 or SMA30 < SMA100 ), BUY: IF( AvgRank < 3.5 & Pri > LR126 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 0 of 6 or 0% , COUNTIF( Held ) 2 of 6 or 33% LT Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: PRF,PXF , Sell: DBC , Buy: -
Last 6m 3m 30/100 TTM R6,R3 % off % off % off Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 PO GSDm AvgRank LR126 LR63 LR21 Status: Held 16-Nov-12 PXF GL:DM 32.93 37% 7% 3.1% 20% 1.0 -6.0% -3.9% -0.4% HTD 28 16-Nov-12 PGX US:PF 14.64 9% 2% 0.5% 5% 3.0 -2.2% -1.2% -0.4% HTD 16-Nov-12 PRF US:LC 59.09 26% 0% 1.9% 12% 3.0 -5.9% -3.7% -0.1% HTD 50 16-Nov-12 DBC GL:Com 27.51 30% -19% 0.4% 18% 3.5 -5.2% -0.2% 0.9% HTD 16-Nov-12 TLT US:FIT 126.37 -7% 0% -1.4% 12% 5.0 2.8% 2.4% -0.3% Sell 16-Nov-12 VNQ US:RE 62.44 6% -22% -1.8% 14% 5.5 -5.4% -1.9% -0.6% Sell
Taxable_Acct. - Balanced Trends and Ranks: RRS SELL: IF( RRS63_Rank >= 5 or RRS126 < 0 ), BUY: IF( RRS63_Rank < 4 & RRS21 > 0 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 0 of 15 or 0% , COUNTIF( Held ) 2 of 15 or 13% ST Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: DBP,SCZ , Sell: - , Buy: -
Last 6m 3m 1m TTM R6,R3 % off % off % off Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 RRS21 GSDm AvgRank LR126 LR63 LR21 Status: Held 16-Nov-12 EEM GL:EM 40.41 27% 15% -35% 20% 3.0 -4.1% -3.2% -0.5% HTD 16-Nov-12 SCZ GL:SC 37.67 31% 15% -47% 18% 2.0 -4.7% -3.8% -0.3% HTD 23 16-Nov-12 DBP GLC:PM 58.93 34% 12% -5% 20% 2.0 -3.5% -2.4% -0.1% HTD 41 16-Nov-12 ACWX GL:LCB 38.59 30% 8% -42% 17% 4.0 -4.7% -3.1% -0.3% HTD 16-Nov-12 TLH US:FIT 138.19 -3% 2% 56% 7% 10.0 1.8% 1.4% -0.2% Sell 16-Nov-12 AGG US:FI 112.21 2% 1% 4% 2% 10.0 -0.1% 0.0% 0.0% Sell 16-Nov-12 IWR US:MC 107.01 21% -5% -43% 13% 6.5 -4.9% -2.6% -0.1% Sell 16-Nov-12 DBB GLC:BM 18.10 9% -5% -22% 23% 10.5 -3.5% -2.6% 0.7% Sell 16-Nov-12 DVY US:DIV 55.45 11% -8% -55% 8% 10.0 -5.0% -2.9% 0.3% Sell 16-Nov-12 IWL US:LC 31.46 20% -10% -55% 12% 9.0 -6.6% -3.7% -0.3% Sell 16-Nov-12 IWC US:Micro 47.62 19% -12% -65% 18% 10.5 -9.0% -6.0% -1.1% Sell 16-Nov-12 IWM US:SC 77.48 19% -14% -59% 16% 10.5 -7.4% -4.2% -0.5% Sell 16-Nov-12 IYR US:REIT 61.89 9% -19% -45% 13% 12.5 -5.3% -1.9% -0.3% Sell 16-Nov-12 DBE GLC:ENE 27.72 31% -20% -28% 24% 8.5 -4.1% 0.9% 1.9% Sell 16-Nov-12 DBA GLC:AG 28.29 21% -24% -33% 15% 11.0 -6.1% -0.6% -0.3% Sell
IRA_Acct. - FIDO_Free Trends and Ranks: RRS SELL: IF( RRS63_Rank >= 5 or RRS126 < 0 ), BUY: IF( RRS63_Rank < 4 & RRS21 > 0 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 0 of 13 or 0% , COUNTIF( Held ) 1 of 13 or 8% ST Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: SCZ , Sell: EFA , Buy: -
Last 6m 3m 1m TTM R6,R3 % off % off % off Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 RRS21 GSDm AvgRank LR126 LR63 LR21 Status: Held 16-Nov-12 EEM GL:EM 40.41 27% 15% -35% 20% 2.5 -4.1% -3.2% -0.5% HTD 16-Nov-12 SCZ GL:SC 37.67 31% 15% -47% 18% 2.5 -4.7% -3.8% -0.3% HTD 42 16-Nov-12 LQD US:FIIG 121.66 12% 12% -13% 4% 6.5 -1.2% -1.0% 0.1% HTD 16-Nov-12 EMB GL:FIEM 120.75 23% 12% -17% 6% 4.5 -2.6% -1.5% -0.1% HTD 16-Nov-12 EFA GL:DM 52.09 32% 7% -45% 17% 3.5 -5.0% -3.1% -0.1% Sell 16-Nov-12 IDV GL:Div'd 31.20 35% 1% -46% 17% 3.5 -5.8% -3.0% -0.3% Sell 16-Nov-12 HYG US:FIHY 90.93 10% -2% -30% 7% 9.5 -2.7% -1.3% 0.1% Sell 16-Nov-12 IJH US:MCB 95.37 20% -5% -38% 14% 7.5 -4.9% -2.7% -0.7% Sell 16-Nov-12 DVY US:Div'd 55.45 11% -8% -55% 8% 10.0 -5.0% -2.9% 0.3% Sell 16-Nov-12 IVV US:LCB 136.84 21% -10% -54% 12% 8.0 -6.4% -3.4% 0.0% Sell 16-Nov-12 IJR US:SCB 72.12 20% -15% -51% 15% 9.5 -6.9% -3.6% -0.8% Sell 16-Nov-12 IYR US:REIT 61.89 9% -19% -45% 13% 12.5 -5.3% -1.9% -0.3% Sell 16-Nov-12 ONEQ US:LCB 112.46 17% -24% -57% 16% 11.0 -7.8% -3.4% -0.3% Sell
Shortables Trends and Ranks: RRS BUY to Cover: IF( AvgRank < 4.5 or RRS21 > 0 ), SELL Short: IF( AvgRank >= 5.5 & Pri < LR63 ) COUNTIF( Sell ) 5 of 10 or 50% , COUNTIF( Held ) 0 of 10 or 0% Holdings: - , Sell: - , Buy: -
Last 3m 2m 1m TTM R3,R2,R1 % off % off % off Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS63 RRS42 RRS21 GSDm AvgRank LR63 LR42 LR21 Status: Held 16-Nov-12 QQQ US:LCB 62.30 -30% -51% -61% 17% 10.0 -3.2% -0.8% 0.0% SELL 16-Nov-12 IWM US:SCB 77.48 -14% -40% -59% 16% 8.3 -4.2% -1.7% -0.5% SELL 16-Nov-12 IVW US:LCG 73.18 -15% -38% -54% 11% 7.7 -3.0% -0.9% 0.2% SELL 16-Nov-12 IVV US:LCB 136.84 -10% -33% -54% 12% 7.0 -3.4% -1.4% 0.0% SELL 16-Nov-12 IYR US:REIT 61.89 -19% -25% -45% 13% 7.0 -1.9% -1.2% -0.3% SELL 16-Nov-12 IJH US:MCB 95.37 -5% -20% -38% 14% 4.7 -2.7% -1.5% -0.7% HTD 16-Nov-12 EFA GL:DM 52.09 7% -16% -45% 17% 4.0 -3.1% -1.5% -0.1% Buy 16-Nov-12 HYG US:FIHY 90.93 -2% -9% -30% 7% 2.7 -1.3% -0.8% 0.1% Buy 16-Nov-12 EEM GL:EM 40.41 15% -11% -35% 20% 2.3 -3.2% -1.5% -0.5% Buy 16-Nov-12 LQD US:FIIG 121.66 12% 5% -13% 4% 1.3 -1.0% -0.6% 0.1% Buy
Notes: Last modified 9/28/2012. Universe: Selected ETF's from Fidelity's List with at least 1-year of history. Non-traditional ETFs/ETNs/Holders are excluded. Strategy / Conditions: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1) Apply a mechanical trend analysis model for trading ETF's that outperforms a buy and hold strategy. 2) Each group Backtested with DAILY data. http://www.etfscreen.com 3) The Regression Relative Strength (RRSx) is the Log-price regression SLOPE of each ETF, then Annualized. 4) The final sort is the RRSx Ranks, where R6, R3, R2 or R1 are rankings of monthly lookback periods. 5) LRxx is the last price on Linear Regression Trend line - TREND(). Included as a tie breaker. 6) Buy, Sell and HTD criteria are as noted. Set Trailing Stops @ ATR when Ranking status is HTD condition. 7) Go to cash when the specified number to hold are not available. 8) Historic prices are Non-dividend adjusted values. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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