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Recommendations: 1
SOLD: MSCI EAFE Small Cap (SCZ) BOUGHT: S&P Small Cap 600 (IJR)
Taxable_Acct. - BroadMarket_Asset_Allocation: SMA_PO SELL: IF( SMA40 < SMA200 & SMA20 < SMA100 ), BUY: IF( SMA10 > SMA50 & SMA20 > SMA100 ) COUNTIF( B&H ) 4 of 5 or 80% , COUNTIF( Held ) 3 of 5 or 60% LT Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: FUSVX,FSIVX,FSEVX , Sell: - , Buy: -
Last SlowPO IntPO FastPO TTM TTM Weeks Weeks Weeks Days EndD Ticker Index Price 40/200 20/100 10/50 NTR %GL LastChg H52w L52w Status: Held 24-Jan-13 FSIVX EAFE 35.35 7.1% 3.6% 2.9% 18.0% 11.5% 24 0 34 B&H 162 24-Jan-13 FSEVX DJ M/S 42.52 3.9% 2.7% 4.1% 16.3% 11.5% 62 0 33 B&H 141 24-Jan-13 FUSVX SP500 52.97 3.3% 2.1% 3.5% 15.5% 13.4% 64 0 34 B&H 175 24-Jan-13 FSRRX SRR 9.76 0.9% -0.5% 0.3% 6.2% 3.0% 28 19 34 B&H 24-Jan-13 FSITX USAB 11.85 -0.3% -0.7% -0.4% 3.8% 0.3% 2 26 44 SELL
Taxable_Acct. - Tactical_Asset_Rotation: RRS SELL: IF( AvgRank >= 4.0 or SMA30 < SMA100 ), BUY: IF( AvgRank < 3.5 & SMA15 > SMA50 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 2 of 6 or 33% , COUNTIF( Held ) 2 of 6 or 33% LT Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: PRF,PXF , Sell: - , Buy: -
Last 6m 3m TTM R6,R3 % off % off SlowPO FastPO` Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 GSDm AvgRank LR126 LR63 30/100 15/50 Status: Held 25-Jan-13 PXF GL:DM 38.09 34% 69% 26% 1.0 2.8% 0.6% 5.1% 4.2% BUY 97 25-Jan-13 PRF US:LC 66.34 17% 43% 16% 2.0 3.6% 1.8% 2.8% 3.7% BUY 119 25-Jan-13 VNQ US:RE 68.95 -1% 35% 15% 3.5 5.0% 1.7% 1.6% 3.2% HTD 25-Jan-13 PGX US:PF 14.85 0% 1% 5% 4.0 0.5% 0.5% -0.1% 0.8% Sell 25-Jan-13 DBC GL:Com 28.01 -4% 4% 23% 4.5 1.1% 0.6% -1.2% 0.2% Sell 25-Jan-13 TLT US:FIT 118.03 -9% -18% 17% 6.0 -2.0% -1.2% -1.8% -2.4% Sell
Taxable_Acct. - Balanced Trends and Ranks: RRS SELL: IF( RRS63_Rank >= 5 or RRS126 < 0 ), BUY: IF( RRS63_Rank < 4 & RRS21 > 0 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 3 of 13 or 23% , COUNTIF( Held ) 4 of 13 or 31% ST Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: SCZ,ACWX,IWR,IWM , Sell: IWR , Buy: -
Last 6m 3m 1m TTM R6,R3 % off % off % off Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 RRS21 GSDm AvgRank LR126 LR63 LR21 Status: Held 25-Jan-13 IWM US:SC 89.94 15% 61% 138% 20% 2.5 5.0% 1.8% -0.3% BUY 10 25-Jan-13 IWC US:Micro 54.91 13% 56% 104% 22% 4.0 3.5% 0.7% -1.1% BUY 25-Jan-13 ACWX GL:LCB 43.18 27% 53% 51% 21% 2.5 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% BUY 57 25-Jan-13 SCZ GL:SC 42.67 31% 52% 88% 22% 2.5 2.6% 1.3% 0.0% HTD 92 25-Jan-13 IWR US:MC 121.16 17% 49% 141% 16% 4.0 4.6% 2.3% 0.0% Sell 22 25-Jan-13 IYR US:REIT 68.09 1% 33% 98% 15% 7.5 4.8% 1.8% -0.3% Sell 25-Jan-13 DBB GLC:BM 18.98 13% 32% -20% 27% 6.0 -1.5% -2.3% 0.4% Sell 25-Jan-13 IWL US:LC 34.14 3% 20% 93% 15% 8.0 2.8% 1.6% -0.4% Sell 25-Jan-13 DBE GLC:ENE 28.80 0% 18% 50% 32% 9.5 2.9% 1.6% 0.2% Sell 25-Jan-13 AGG US:FI 110.57 -2% -6% -3% 3% 10.5 -0.5% -0.1% -0.2% Sell 25-Jan-13 TLH US:FIT 132.82 -4% -10% -12% 10% 11.5 -1.4% -0.8% -0.3% Sell 25-Jan-13 DBP GLC:PM 56.93 5% -17% 24% 22% 9.5 -3.5% 0.0% -1.3% Sell 25-Jan-13 DBA GLC:AG 27.58 -17% -18% -15% 20% 13.0 -0.5% -0.3% -0.1% Sell
IRA_Acct. - FIDO_Free Trends and Ranks: RRS SELL: IF( RRS63_Rank >= 5 or RRS126 < 0 ), BUY: IF( RRS63_Rank < 4 & RRS21 > 0 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 3 of 13 or 23% , COUNTIF( Held ) 3 of 13 or 23% ST Hold: Three ( 3 ), Holdings: EEM,EFA,IJR , Sell: SCZ , Buy: IJR
Last 6m 3m 1m TTM R6,R3 % off % off % off Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 RRS21 GSDm AvgRank LR126 LR63 LR21 Status: Held 25-Jan-13 IJR US:SCB 83.41 15% 59% 138% 19% 3.5 5.1% 2.0% -0.1% BUY 2 25-Jan-13 EFA GL:DM 59.03 29% 57% 63% 21% 2.0 2.5% 0.6% 0.3% BUY 38 25-Jan-13 IJH US:MCB 109.53 21% 57% 151% 17% 4.0 4.9% 2.3% 0.0% BUY 25-Jan-13 EEM GL:EM 44.16 27% 53% 11% 23% 3.5 -0.2% -2.0% -1.0% HTD 52 25-Jan-13 SCZ GL:SC 42.67 31% 52% 88% 22% 3.0 2.6% 1.3% 0.0% Sell 25-Jan-13 IDV GL:Div'd 35.03 22% 47% 82% 22% 5.0 2.8% 1.0% 0.0% Sell 25-Jan-13 IYR US:REIT 68.09 1% 33% 98% 15% 10.0 4.8% 1.8% -0.3% Sell 25-Jan-13 IVV US:LCB 150.92 7% 32% 100% 15% 8.0 3.4% 1.6% -0.3% Sell 25-Jan-13 ONEQ US:LCB 123.78 1% 32% 80% 19% 10.5 3.1% 0.7% -0.7% Sell 25-Jan-13 DVY US:Div'd 59.89 3% 20% 76% 10% 10.0 3.1% 1.6% -0.1% Sell 25-Jan-13 HYG US:FIHY 94.85 6% 15% 25% 8% 10.0 0.9% 0.1% -0.2% Sell 25-Jan-13 EMB GL:FIEM 121.56 8% 3% -11% 8% 9.5 -1.4% -0.7% 0.0% Sell 25-Jan-13 LQD US:FIIG 120.10 2% -6% -8% 6% 12.0 -1.3% -0.3% -0.2% Sell
Shortables Trends and Ranks: RRS BUY to Cover: IF( AvgRank < 4.5 or RRS21 > 0 ), SELL Short: IF( AvgRank >= 5.5 & Pri < LR42 ) COUNTIF( Sell ) 1 of 10 or 10% , COUNTIF( Held ) 0 of 10 or 0% Holdings: - , Sell: - , Buy: -
Last 3m 2m 1m TTM R3,R2,R1 % off % off % off Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS63 RRS42 RRS21 GSDm AvgRank LR63 LR42 LR21 Status: Held 25-Jan-13 LQD US:FIIG 120.10 -6% -8% -8% 6% 10.0 -0.3% -0.2% -0.2% SELL 25-Jan-13 HYG US:FIHY 94.85 15% 15% 25% 8% 8.7 0.1% 0.1% -0.2% Buy 25-Jan-13 QQQ US:LCB 67.00 21% 22% 54% 20% 7.7 0.1% -0.2% -1.0% Buy 25-Jan-13 IVW US:LCG 79.10 23% 30% 78% 14% 6.3 1.2% 0.7% -0.5% Buy 25-Jan-13 EEM GL:EM 44.16 53% 57% 11% 23% 5.3 -2.0% -2.3% -1.0% Buy 25-Jan-13 IVV US:LCB 150.92 32% 44% 100% 15% 5.0 1.6% 0.9% -0.3% Buy 25-Jan-13 EFA GL:DM 59.03 57% 56% 63% 21% 4.3 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% Buy 25-Jan-13 IYR US:REIT 68.09 33% 56% 98% 15% 4.3 1.8% 0.6% -0.3% Buy 25-Jan-13 IJH US:MCB 109.53 57% 76% 151% 17% 2.0 2.3% 1.3% 0.0% Buy 25-Jan-13 IWM US:SCB 89.94 61% 89% 138% 20% 1.3 1.8% 0.5% -0.3% Buy
Notes: Last modified 9/28/2012. Universe: Selected ETF's from Fidelity's List with at least 1-year of history. Non-traditional ETFs/ETNs/Holders are excluded. Strategy / Conditions: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1) Apply a mechanical trend analysis model for trading ETF's that outperforms a buy and hold strategy. 2) Each group Backtested with DAILY data. http://www.etfscreen.com 3) The Regression Relative Strength (RRSx) is the Log-price regression SLOPE of each ETF, then Annualized. 4) The final sort is the RRSx Ranks, where R6, R3, R2 or R1 are rankings of monthly lookback periods. 5) LRxx is the last price on Linear Regression Trend line - TREND(). Included as a tie breaker. 6) Buy, Sell and HTD criteria are as noted. Set Trailing Stops @ ATR when Ranking status is HTD condition. 7) Go to cash when the specified number to hold are not available. 8) Historic prices are Non-dividend adjusted values. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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