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Recommendations: 1
SOLD: MSCI Emerging Markets Index (EEM) S&P Small Cap 600 (IJR)
BOUGHT: iShares DowJones US Technology (IYW) Russell 1000 Growth Index (IWF)
Taxable_Acct. - Tactical_Asset_Rotation(TAR): RRS SELL: IF( Avg Rank > 3 or RRS126 < 0 or SMA10 < SMA100 ), BUY: IF( Avg Rank < 3 & Price > LR126 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 0 of 5 or 0% , COUNTIF( Held ) 2 of 5 or 40% Hold: TWO(2), LT Holdings: PRF,PXF , Sell: - , Buy: -
(R6,R3) LR126 LR126 (10,100) Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 RRS42 GSDm Avg Rank STEYX % off SMA_PO Status: Held 30-Mar-12 PRF US:LC 60.50 44% 47% 35% 22% 2.0 1.2 -0.4% 7.0% HTD 77 30-Mar-12 PXF GL:DM 35.83 25% 63% 13% 26% 2.0 1.4 -0.1% 6.0% HTD 33 30-Mar-12 VNQ US:RE 63.65 51% 37% 9% 26% 2.0 1.7 -0.8% 6.5% HTD 30-Mar-12 DBC GL:Com 28.80 20% 37% 18% 19% 4.0 0.7 -1.2% 3.5% Sell 30-Mar-12 TLT US:FILB 112.20 -5% -23% -29% 17% 5.0 2.8 -3.0% -4.4% Sell
Taxable_Acct. - DowJones Sectors(Rated>7): RRS SELL: IF( Avg Rank >= 6 or RRS126 < 0 or SMA10 < SMA100 ), BUY: IF( Avg Rank < 4 & Price > LR126 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 2 of 20 or 10% , COUNTIF( Held ) 3 of 20 or 15% Hold: THREE(3), ST Holdings: ITB,IYF,IYW , Sell: - , Buy: IYW
(R6,R3,R2) LR126 LR126 (10,100) Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 RRS42 GSDm Avg Rank STEYX % off SMA_PO Status: Held 30-Mar-12 ITB US:HC 14.72 166% 103% 71% 45% 2.0 0.5 -3.7% 15.3% HTD 64 30-Mar-12 IYF US:FIN 58.52 66% 88% 75% 28% 2.3 1.7 1.6% 12.4% BUY 14 30-Mar-12 IYW US:TECH 77.81 57% 121% 89% 23% 2.3 2.4 2.7% 12.4% BUY 2 30-Mar-12 IYC US:CS 80.99 48% 64% 58% 21% 6.0 1.5 0.9% 8.7% Sell 30-Mar-12 IHF US:HCP 66.88 57% 44% 33% 29% 7.0 1.4 0.8% 6.6% Sell 30-Mar-12 IAK US:INS 32.05 52% 53% 24% 27% 7.3 0.9 -0.8% 7.3% Sell 30-Mar-12 IYY US:TM 70.73 47% 56% 40% 21% 7.3 1.5 0.0% 7.7% Sell 30-Mar-12 IYJ US:IND 71.38 59% 44% 17% 28% 7.3 1.7 -2.1% 7.0% Sell 30-Mar-12 IHE US:PH 83.06 55% 35% 37% 19% 8.7 1.1 -0.4% 6.8% Sell 30-Mar-12 ITA US:AD 67.13 50% 40% 10% 25% 10.3 1.4 -2.1% 5.6% Sell 30-Mar-12 IYK US:CG 74.12 30% 40% 40% 14% 11.0 1.1 0.9% 5.8% Sell 30-Mar-12 IYR US:RE 62.30 49% 37% 10% 25% 11.3 1.5 -0.9% 6.3% Sell 30-Mar-12 IEO US:OGEP 65.79 44% 46% -6% 38% 12.0 3.2 -5.8% 2.7% Sell 30-Mar-12 IYH US:HC 78.20 42% 29% 24% 19% 12.3 1.2 0.5% 6.0% Sell 30-Mar-12 IYE US:EN 41.52 37% 26% 0% 29% 15.3 1.4 -4.5% 2.5% Sell 30-Mar-12 IYT US:T 93.69 38% 6% -4% 29% 16.3 2.7 -2.8% 3.5% Sell 30-Mar-12 IYM US:BM 70.36 39% 16% -22% 34% 16.7 2.7 -3.4% 3.1% Sell 30-Mar-12 IDU US:UT 86.16 9% 1% 3% 12% 17.3 1.4 -1.1% 0.1% Sell 30-Mar-12 IEZ US:OES 53.50 35% 18% -34% 43% 17.7 2.7 -7.4% -0.3% Sell 30-Mar-12 BND US:FIT 83.28 0% -2% -6% 3% 19.3 0.3 -0.3% -0.6% Sell
IRA_Acct. - FIDO_Balanced Trends and Ranks: RRS SELL: IF( Avg Rank >= 6 or RRS126 < 0 or SMA10 < SMA100 ), BUY: IF( Avg Rank < 4 & Price > LR126 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 1 of 14 or 7% , COUNTIF( Held ) 2 of 14 or 14% Hold: THREE(3), ST Holdings: IWO,IWF , Sell: EEM , Buy: IWF
(R6,R3) LR126 LR126 (10,100) Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 RRS42 GSDm Avg Rank STEYX % off SMA_PO Status: Held 30-Mar-12 IWO US:SCG 95.38 57% 58% 11% 31% 2.0 2.7 -1.7% 7.5% HTD 59 30-Mar-12 IWF US:LCG 66.08 47% 68% 47% 21% 3.0 1.5 0.6% 8.4% BUY 2 30-Mar-12 SCZ GL:SC 40.13 27% 71% 19% 24% 5.0 1.5 1.9% 6.9% HTD 30-Mar-12 EEM GL:EM 42.95 40% 57% -6% 30% 5.0 1.7 -2.4% 4.9% HTD 30-Mar-12 IWN US:SCV 72.97 54% 42% 6% 28% 5.0 1.9 -1.9% 6.9% HTD 30-Mar-12 IWD US:LCV 70.07 45% 43% 34% 22% 6.0 1.4 -0.7% 6.9% Sell 30-Mar-12 IYR US:REIT 62.30 49% 37% 10% 25% 6.0 1.5 -0.9% 6.3% Sell 30-Mar-12 DBE GLC:ENE 30.05 32% 54% 44% 22% 6.5 0.8 -2.3% 5.2% Sell 30-Mar-12 ACWX GL:LCB 40.83 28% 57% 14% 24% 6.5 1.4 -0.1% 5.6% Sell 30-Mar-12 DBB GLC:BM 20.09 23% 21% -17% 27% 10.0 0.7 -3.8% 1.9% Sell 30-Mar-12 DBP GLC:PM 58.33 1% 15% -33% 29% 11.5 2.3 -1.4% -1.6% Sell 30-Mar-12 AGG US:FI 109.85 1% -2% -7% 3% 12.0 0.5 -0.4% -0.4% Sell 30-Mar-12 SHY US:FI 84.32 0% -1% -2% 1% 12.5 0.1 -0.1% -0.2% Sell 30-Mar-12 DBA GLC:AG 28.10 -13% -8% -20% 15% 14.0 0.7 -0.3% -2.0% Sell
IRA_Acct. - S&P Equal Weight Sector ETF's: RRS SELL: IF( Avg Rank >= 3 or RRS126 < 0 or SMA10 < SMA100 ), BUY: IF( Avg Rank < 2.5 & Price > LR126 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 2 of 12 or 17% , COUNTIF( Held ) 1 of 12 or 8% Hold: ONE(1), ST Holdings: RYF , Sell: - , Buy: -
(R6,R3,R2) LR126 LR126 (10,100) Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 RRS42 GSDm Avg Rank STEYX % off SMA_PO Status: Held 30-Mar-12 RYF US:SF 28.35 69% 82% 58% 30% 1.3 0.9 0.3% 11.5% BUY 37 30-Mar-12 RCD US:SD 54.80 57% 78% 60% 27% 2.0 1.4 0.3% 9.8% BUY 30-Mar-12 RYT US:ST 58.74 51% 78% 31% 27% 3.3 1.9 0.7% 9.0% Sell 30-Mar-12 RSP US:LC 51.87 46% 51% 27% 24% 5.3 1.2 -0.7% 7.1% Sell 30-Mar-12 RGI US:SI 57.50 55% 35% 7% 29% 5.3 1.4 -2.7% 5.7% Sell 30-Mar-12 RYH US:SH 75.41 45% 44% 27% 22% 5.7 1.5 1.4% 7.3% Sell 30-Mar-12 RHS US:SS 66.16 24% 23% 29% 14% 7.3 0.8 0.4% 4.0% Sell 30-Mar-12 RTM US:SM 62.75 53% 28% -5% 31% 7.3 2.0 -2.7% 5.5% Sell 30-Mar-12 RYE US:SE 64.03 32% 28% -17% 37% 9.0 3.0 -5.5% 1.0% Sell 30-Mar-12 HYG US:HY 90.72 17% 8% 1% 12% 9.7 1.5 -1.4% 1.8% Sell 30-Mar-12 RYU US:SU 54.57 8% 4% 5% 14% 10.0 0.8 -0.8% 0.2% Sell 30-Mar-12 IEF US:TB 103.28 1% -9% -16% 7% 11.7 1.0 -1.4% -1.6% Sell
FIDO_Free Trends and Ranks: RRS SELL: IF( Avg Rank >= 6 or RRS126 < 0 or SMA10 < SMA100 ), BUY: IF( Avg Rank < 4 & Price > LR126 ) COUNTIF( Buy ) 0 of 12 or 0% , COUNTIF( Held ) 2 of 12 or 17% Hold: THREE(3), ST Holdings: EEM,IJH , Sell: IJR , Buy: -
(R6,R3) LR126 LR126 (10,100) Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS126 RRS63 RRS42 GSDm Avg Rank STEYX % off SMA_PO Status: Held 30-Mar-12 IJH US:MCB 99.22 53% 62% 24% 27% 2.0 2.6 -1.2% 7.6% HTD 38 30-Mar-12 SCZ GL:SC 40.13 27% 71% 19% 24% 4.0 1.5 1.9% 6.9% HTD 30-Mar-12 EEM GL:EM 42.95 40% 57% -6% 30% 4.0 1.7 -2.4% 4.9% HTD 47 30-Mar-12 IJR US:SCB 76.31 59% 46% 8% 28% 4.0 1.9 -1.9% 7.2% HTD 30-Mar-12 IVV US:LCB 141.21 45% 54% 43% 20% 4.5 2.9 0.1% 7.7% HTD 30-Mar-12 IYR US:REIT 62.30 49% 37% 10% 25% 5.5 1.5 -0.9% 6.3% HTD 30-Mar-12 EFA GL:DM 54.89 24% 55% 18% 23% 6.0 1.8 0.7% 5.9% Sell 30-Mar-12 IDV GL:SD 32.60 20% 50% 15% 22% 7.5 1.1 0.7% 5.2% Sell 30-Mar-12 DVY US:SD 55.96 29% 22% 18% 16% 8.0 0.8 -1.3% 3.7% Sell 30-Mar-12 EMB GL:FI 112.71 12% 23% 13% 8% 9.5 1.4 -0.4% 1.9% Sell 30-Mar-12 LQD US:FI 115.63 9% 6% -8% 6% 11.0 1.3 -0.7% 0.6% Sell 30-Mar-12 TIP US:FI 117.65 6% 2% -7% 5% 12.0 0.8 -1.1% 0.0% Sell
Shortables Trends and Ranks: RRS BUY: to Cover IF( Avg Rank <= 5 ), SELL: Short IF( Avg Rank >= 6 & Price < LR63 ) COUNTIF( Sell ) 5 of 10 or 50% , COUNTIF( Held ) 0 of 10 or 0% ST Holdings: - , Sell: - , Buy: -
(R3,R2,R1) LR63 LR63 (10,100) Days EndD ETF's Class: Price RRS63 RRS42 RRS21 GSDm Avg Rank STEYX % off SMA_PO Status: Held 30-Mar-12 AGG US:T 109.85 -2% -7% -9% 3% 9.3 0.4 0.0% -0.4% SELL 30-Mar-12 EEM GL:EM 42.95 57% -6% -23% 30% 7.3 1.2 -4.2% 4.9% SELL 30-Mar-12 GSG GL:COM 34.78 35% 29% -17% 21% 6.7 0.5 -3.6% 3.8% SELL 30-Mar-12 DIA US:LCB 131.80 30% 22% 34% 18% 6.7 0.9 -0.4% 5.1% SELL 30-Mar-12 IYR US:REIT 62.30 37% 10% 46% 25% 6.0 1.0 -0.5% 6.3% SELL 30-Mar-12 EFA GL:DM 54.89 55% 18% 26% 23% 5.7 0.9 -2.1% 5.9% HTD 30-Mar-12 IWM US:SCB 82.81 49% 9% 83% 30% 5.3 1.6 -1.8% 7.2% HTD 30-Mar-12 IJH US:MCB 99.22 62% 24% 45% 27% 3.7 1.5 -2.2% 7.6% Buy 30-Mar-12 IVV US:LCB 141.21 54% 43% 62% 20% 3.3 1.0 -0.9% 0.1% Buy 30-Mar-12 QQQ US:LCB 67.55 107% 87% 125% 22% 1.0 0.5 -1.1% 12.0% Buy
Notes: Last modified 3/1/2012. Universe: Selected ETF's from Fidelity's List with at least 1-year of history. Non-traditional ETFs/ETNs/Holders are excluded. Strategy / Conditions: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1) Apply a mechanical trend analysis model for trading ETF's that outperforms a buy and hold strategy. 2) Each group Backtested with DAILY data. http://www.etfscreen.com 3) The Regression Relative Strength (RRSx) is the Log-price regression SLOPE of each ETF, then Annualized. 4) The final sort is the Average of RRSx Ranks, where R6, R3, R2 or R1 are rankings of monthly lookback periods. 5) LRxx is the last price on Linear Regression Trend line - TREND(days). Buy/Sell price target determined by LRxx 6) Buy, Sell and HTD criteria are as noted. Set Trailing Stops @ ATR when Ranking status is HTD condition. 7) Go to cash when the specified number to hold are not available. 8) Standard Error (STEYX) included as a tie breaker. The larger the error the less reliable the trend. This can be caused by the changes in the prevailing trend within the specified number of periods. 9) Historic prices are Non-dividend adjusted values. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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