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Author: drebbin Big gold star, 5000 posts Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 137158  
Subject: Speaking of crazy polls... Date: 10/9/2012 4:07 PM
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This ARG poll of 600 likely voters in OH has Romney up 1 (statistically way insignificant, of course). No, that isn't even the crazy part.

The partisan split is D+9

Now, I don't believe Romney can edge 0bama with D+9 turnout. And I doubt that is what we'll get in OH. The question is, how close to reality is Romney's 20 point advantage among independents? How close does it need to be, when 0bama won independents by 8 points in 2008?

After the election, we'll all look back on this and be able to clearly pick out which polls made all the sense in the world, which ones didn't, and why we could have seen the final result coming (whatever it is). But for now, polling just looks insane. I can only take it for entertainment value.

http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/OH12.html
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