For those who can't listen to the news themselves, someone on METAR probably should announce:The S&P 500 index has hit a record high!!!WOW!!! (I hope I sound enthusiastic enough to satisfy CNBC watchers.)Of course, that record high is not inflation-adjusted, but still...it's nice.The Control Panel has been bullish since November 2012. The Fed is still easy and the economy is improving slowly but surely. There are no immediate Macro clouds on the horizon. (I don't include the government sequester, tax changes, and upcoming budget battles, the insolvent countries in Europe, the demographic imbalances in all industrialized nations and the ever-present danger of nuclear holocaust or other TEOTWAWKI events -- all of these are medium to long-term Macro hazards that won't hit this week or probably even this month.)http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?$INDU,$S...http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/candleglance.html?$IRX,$US...Here are discussions of whether the momentum will continue:http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/06/business/investors-quandar...http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142412788732453940457834... Wall Street Journal, March 5, 2013, 7:13 p.m. ETAs Confetti Settles, Strategists Wonder: Will Dow's Rally Last? By CHRIS DIETERICH, PAUL VIGNA and MATT JARZEMSKY...One buy signal: Transportation stocks are rising in tandem with the blue-chip index, an occurrence that many investors view as a harbinger of more gains. On Tuesday, the Dow Jones Transportation Index hit its own record high, which "absolutely" confirms to Mr. Saut and other believers in so-called Dow Theory that stocks still have room to climb, he said.... [end quote]Of course, all the Macro risks have not gone away. The question is when they will re-assert themselves. The happy charts and dearth of reportage hints that the upward momentum won't be broken soon...but it's hard to tell. Barring outside problems (let's not forget 2010-2012, when Europe was the big story), the next problem is the budget battle in Washington at the end of March. This may or may not impact the stock market, especially if corporate profits continue to rise.http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/CPWendyP.S. I wonder why people who think that Macroeconomics is a waste of time hang out on METAR to whine?
P.S. I wonder why people who think that Macroeconomics is a waste of time hang out on METAR to whine? I just like killing time, it is easier to clean than deer.CheersQazulight
P.S. I wonder why people who think that Macroeconomics is a waste of time hang out on METAR to whine? He is trolling for attention, and people keep giving it to him, so he will keep trolling.
thank you Wendy.Now back to our regular program ;-)I don't include ... the insolvent countries in Europe ... medium to long-term Macro hazards that won't hit this week or probably even this month.Ah yes, Europe. A leading political figure (albeit a clown by profession) thinks decades of Bunga-Bunga come home to roost soon:Mr Grillo’s web-based, anti-establishment Five Star Movement won more than a quarter of the vote in Italy’s general election last week. ...In an interview with a German magazine published on Saturday, Mr Grillo said that “if conditions do not change” Italy “will want” to leave the euro and return to its former national currency. The 64-year-old comic-turned-political activist also said Italy needs to renegotiate its €2 trillion debt. At 127 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP), it is the highest in the euro zone after Greece.“Right now we are being crushed, not by the euro, but by our debt. When the interest payments reach €100 billion a year, we’re dead. There’s no alternative,” he told Focus, a weekly news magazine. He said Italy was in such dire economic straits that “in six months, we will no longer be able to pay pensions and the wages of public employees.” The incendiary comments are likely to intensify the acute paralysis within Italian politics.http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/italy/99042...
Of course, that record high is not inflation-adjusted,In that case it isn't really good news, is it? In fact, it might be terrible news! I mean, Sudan's absolute numbers must be busting the roof: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-10/sudan-inflation-acc...
He is trolling for attention, and people keep giving it to him, so he will keep trolling. There is no such thing as a troll just people who complain about other people when minds are not of a like notion. With Saint Paddy's day coming up we do have to make an exception for Leprechauns. Dave
WSJ has us about even with 1994 after inflation.
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