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Author: yttire Big red star, 1000 posts Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 5068  
Subject: Re: 2008 FIRE Update Date: 1/14/2009 10:45 PM
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Thanks for your update WhyOhWhy. Your graph looks remarkably similar to mine. The same plateaus and bumps! Impossible but real! (I am looking at my spreadsheet against yours over the same time frame).

I will notice that your loss was larger as a percentage. However, your gains through the previous years were also much larger as percentages. I think this reflects your more aggressive position in the markets- more volatility overall. Also your housing market suffered whereas my area didn't. I suspect in the long run the more aggressive portfolio will end up crushing a more conservative strategy but time will tell.

I started out at about 2x and rose to around 6x- you started with around 1x and went up to almost 5.5x. Thus you were kicking my behind over the same time period.

I am also thinking of buying more house- but in the form of a rental which will "carry its weight" so to speak. Your plan of buying a larger house after a downturn with very low mortgage rates seems like a good one, with the added bonus of more room to play in. I hope you enjoy it.

It is very frustrating to be falling backwards when you have a plan of upwards movement. We are all locked into the macroeconomic forces of our times and it doesn't seem simple to extricate ourselves from it as investors. If there is a way, I am curious what it is. Buy collectible baseball cards?

It is awesome you survived the cut where you are. Where I am there are large rumors of cuts coming and time will only tell who ends up landing on the street.

Surviving this period of financial turmoil with a job intact will end up being much more important to the overall financial picture than a few years of investment returns it seems. But this is beyond anyone's control although working hard certainly can't hurt.

Good luck with your future investments.
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