Message Font: Serif | Sans-Serif
 
UnThreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (3) | Ignore Thread Prev | Next
Author: ultrabrite Big gold star, 5000 posts Old School Fool CAPS All Star Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 1001  
Subject: Re: July SSS up 4.6% Date: 8/21/2006 1:31 AM
Post New | Post Reply | Reply Later | Create Poll . Report this Post | Recommend it!
Recommendations: 1
The analyst estimates on yahoo show declines in the past 90 days for all periods. These numbers will probably drop as the latest disappointment is factored into the mix.

EPS Trends Current Qtr Next Qtr Current Year Next Year
Jul-06 Oct-06 Jan-07 Jan-08
Current Est. 0.19 0.21 1.05 1.18
7 Days Ago 0.19 0.21 1.05 1.18
30 Days Ago 0.20 0.21 1.08 1.19
60 Days Ago 0.20 0.22 1.09 1.24
90 Days Ago 0.23 0.23 1.15 1.32

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ae?s=DG

If I estimate 15 cents for each of the first 3 quarters of this year and 50 cents for the 4th quarter, that comes to a full year estimate of 95 cents for the year ending in Jan 2007. Here are the numbers to back up the estimates. I have rounded them off when possible:

Jan 2007 Jan 2008
Revenue $9400 $10300
Cost of Goods 6800 7470
Gross Margin 2600 2830

SG&A expense 2105 2320
Operating Inc. 495 510
Net Interest Exp. 25 32
Income before Tax 470 478
Tax provision 175 178
NET INCOME 295 300

Diluted EPS .95 1.00

Ave. Diluted Shrs 310 300

The one positive thing is that DG continues to grow sales and buy back shares. I think the one thing that could give the shares a boost is if the current pace of expansion is slowed and more shares are bought back. I would even be in favor of DG doing what Family Dollar did last October - selling $250 million of debt and buying back 10 million shares with the proceeds.

JT :-)
Post New | Post Reply | Reply Later | Create Poll . Report this Post | Recommend it!
Print the post  
UnThreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (3) | Ignore Thread Prev | Next

Announcements

Pencils of Promise - Back to School Drive
"Pencils of Promise works with communities across the globe to build schools and create programs that provide education opportunities for children."
Managing Your Wealth
Our own TMFHockeypop from Rule Your Retirement fame on the TV show Managing Your Wealth.
When Life Gives You Lemons
We all have had hardships and made poor decisions. The important thing is how we respond and grow. Read the story of a Fool who started from nothing, and looks to gain everything.
What was Your Dumbest Investment?
Share it with us -- and learn from others' stories of flubs.
Community Home
Speak Your Mind, Start Your Blog, Rate Your Stocks

Community Team Fools - who are those TMF's?
Contact Us
Contact Customer Service and other Fool departments here.
Work for Fools?
Winner of the Washingtonian great places to work, and "#1 Media Company to Work For" (BusinessInsider 2011)! Have access to all of TMF's online and email products for FREE, and be paid for your contributions to TMF! Click the link and start your Fool career.
Advertisement