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Author: Goofyhoofy Big funky green star, 20000 posts Top Favorite Fools Top Recommended Fools Feste Award Nominee! Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 1957735  
Subject: The other Cliff no one is talking about Date: 12/5/2012 9:31 AM
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With all the talk about the fiscal cliff, I see there is another one looming, one which is not getting much attention. And the "fiscal cliff" has a pretty good chance of exacerbating this other cliff, as well.

I'm talking abut the body of the electorate which self-identifies as "Republican." It's already the smallest of the three choices: Democrats are 38%, Independents are 34%, Republicans are 28% and falling fast. They're down 4% in four years, while Democrats have matched that number in the opposite direction.

As for Independents, when pushed to declare "leaning" status, those leaning "toward Democrats" are up 2 points while "toward Republicans" are flat since 2000.

More fascinating, over two thirds of Republicans declare themselves as "Conservatives", and two-thirds of those want the party to turn even harder to the Right. A majority of the remaining 31% would like the party to be "more centrist", but they are clearly overruled by the 60% overall who want the party to push even farther away from the center.

Given what might happen if intransigence does, in fact, push the nation over the so-called "fiscal cliff", it seems likely that the Republican party may face a "post-Goldwater" moment, when it is reduced to a small core of radicals, ever more firmly entrenched in their beliefs and irrelevant to the majority if America.

http://pewresearch.org/databank/dailynumber/?NumberID=757
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