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Recommendations: 7
Not that I'm complaining, but can anyone thing why a lot of little Mr Markets have decided that really want to own some Berkshire shares in the last couple of months?
The odd thing is that most of the portfolio companies haven't done that well by comparison, so presumably it's a rational revaluation of the subsidiaries, or an irrational price move. Or just some catch-up. Since the first trading week of August: BRK +31.4% USG -7.6% WFC -7.0% Amex -2.9% WPO +0.1% BNI +2.7% WMT +3.2% KFT +5.5% JNJ +10.4% KO +16.5%
The ratio of price-to-intrinsic value for Berkshire is now about about 8.2% above its long run average ratio, by my calculations. At the historical average ratio (average discount) the expected price today would be around 131500, rather than 142500 right now.
I have substantially lightened up my position, on the expectation that I can buy back in at a lower price at some point. Of course, I may be entirely incorrect about that.
Jim
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