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Author: Zeelotes Big red star, 1000 posts Feste Award Nominee! Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 254100  
Subject: Timing: Is it doable? Date: 12/19/2012 11:46 PM
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Good question. The simple answer: It can be.

Over the life of this board an increasing amount of time and effort has gone into discussing how to implement mechanical timing that will improve risk-adjusted returns. The primary focus has been on layering on some sort of timing system on top of standard MI screens.

The focus of my own research has been on identifying cycles, and attempting to pinpoint transitions in the market. It has been a very long pursuit and countless hours have gone into it.

A little over a year ago I decided to take advantage of a third party tracker to validate my own signals. I'm sharing those with you today as an encouragement to those of you who have made a lot of effort to do something similar to what I'm doing. The point is simple -- it most definitely can be a very worthwhile pursuit. Yes, it takes a tremendous amount of time. And yes, it means that you'll run into a whole lot of brick walls as you strive toward the prize. There will be failures. But hopefully, the successes will counteract those failures and keep you pressing on.

The way timertrac works is that I have to enter the actual trades on their site and they execute the trade and store the historical record based on the next close price. If I enter it at night, which I usually do, they enter the trade at the next day's close. Actually, I tend to use a concept I call dream prices which are a limit order x% below the signal day's close. This is not possible to do on timertrac. So their approach does hurt returns somewhat.

The investments are all 3x ETFs, both bullish and inverted.

Anyway, without further ado, here is a link to one of the systems that I use:

http://www.timertrac.com/private/medallion.asp?mlid={DEAC7659-59A8-4AE4-846B-A2B440B26E8E}

It appears that the link will not work correctly so you will have to copy and paste it into your browser window if you are interested in seeing the graph.
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