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Author: ThyPeace Big red star, 1000 posts Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 122  
Subject: Re: Greetings, Fool! Date: 9/19/2006 7:15 PM
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True, but bear in mind that sort of analysis depends on the number of players, not just the stats for each individual player.

So today I watched my percentile bounce from 51st to 32nd to 52nd. Looks like I settled in the 41st or so. (Yup, I have a score of somewhere between -2 and +2, hurrah for me.) I'd like to know whether the number of players or the newness of the game affect such huge bounces. Will that change as time goes on? I'm having a slightly hard time figuring that out. And no, I have no idea why I care, but there you have it.

There is also the fact that you can't weight your ratings. TMFEldrehad referred to it as the people with the most money getting the most votes, but there's a corollary that affects the individual as well. In the real world, if I thought (for example) that 3M was going to outperform the market some, but that Doral was going to outperform the market a LOT, I might purchase more shares of Doral than 3M. Or if I thought that the best things in life are PZZA and BEER, I might purchase equal numbers of shares (or equal dollar values) of those two, and buy a smaller amount of CL and JNJ for the cleanup afterwards. Since CAPS doesn't give me "money" to "invest," my score probably look different than the performance of my individual portfolio.



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