there are problems with this etf as an investment vehicle, but interesting to note the recent jump in volume. There's some press today that Obama will promote moving coal fired energy plants to natural gas,etc. Iran tensions, too. But how all this weighs against huge new supply through technological advances in finding and accessinggas is impossible to know. There's still the chance of a world-wide recession, too. Just watching
Current spot price is less than the marginal cost of production, so it won't stay down this low for very long. CHK is already shutting in some production.
etf bounce at $5 with volume. Just watching, the downtrend may continue.Meanwhile WSJ reports today on the supply glut due to new production and mild winter.SNIPThe more likely scenario is that forced sales of gas push prices below $2, and perhaps even $1, for a brief period at some point this year. The real solution will be for such low prices to encourage more demand or, more immediately, for gas producers to shut-in some production, like Chesapeake Energy did last week. Citigroup puts the breaking point for high-cost producers at about $1.80, 27% below today's price. Ultimately, a crash may be the only way to get this market to rebalance in short order.
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