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You mention that you use Shiller's data, but not how you use it. Most other research using his data refutes yours, and one can see the calculations.

This goes back a long time.

You might start by looking at the Foundations section. It has Our Strong Theoretical Foundations and the Logical Sequence.

You might be interested in the Current Research series. Current Research A is relevant as well as several other sections.

I added a series of modifications to John Greaney's Retire Early Safe Withdrawal Calculator (and I have made them available for download). This is the source of my Historical Surviving Withdrawal Rates.

I have developed the theoretical underpinnings along with the historical observations.

Have fun.

John Walter Russell
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