Your claim of "I was right and you were wrong" may be personally satisfying, but has no basis in fact. My statements then, as now, were based heavily on Silver's model. It was very accurate then and I expect it to be very accurate now.What is different is that then you forecast big gains early on with no actual data and your wishes, they weren't any more than that, came true ... but as the shift occurred, Mr. Silver tracked the shift.You are just denying data you don't like.
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