Message Font: Serif | Sans-Serif
 
UnThreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (9) | Ignore Thread Prev | Next
Author: gamane Two stars, 250 posts Old School Fool Add to my Favorite Fools Ignore this person (you won't see their posts anymore) Number: of 201897  
Subject: Re: Into the repurcahse weeds ... Date: 12/12/2012 11:13 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Reply Later | Create Poll Report this Post | Recommend it!
Recommendations: 3
Zamboni nailed it. I'm sure that Munger, Tolles & Olson would have preferred that WEB not publish a number at or below which BRK might repurchase shares. But given that WEB has published a number (now increased from the original number), it has to be based on book value at the most recently publicly disclosed book value, not some book value that WEB has calculated using undisclosed, insider info.

We also shouldn't get too excited about the "floor" created by his repurchase number. That floor won't support a lot of the weight in the event of a strong market downdraft. WEB is not obligating the company to buy at or below that price. He is simply saying that BRK would consider buying at or below the publicly released multiple of book value. Current daily trading volumes make the potential impact on the value of such buys minimal at best.

We are approaching a time, in my opinion, when the market will quit being happy due to the discoveries of rapid interest rate increases, earnings declines due to government and private sector spending reductions and the impact of tax increases (ignore the short term "fiscal cliff" ruse that the media and the politicians are hyping in order to respectively sell advertising or buy votes). When that happens, 1.2 times book value might be based on a book value of $100,000/share and WEB might find much better values for BRK cash than BRK trading at $95,000/share. Not a guaranteed future, but definitely not a zero probability either.
Post New | Post Reply | Reply Later | Create Poll Report this Post | Recommend it!
Print the post  
UnThreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (9) | Ignore Thread Prev | Next

Announcements

Invest Better Hub
Take advantage of our newest free service, Invest Better!
New Fool-Branded Credit Card Available!
How does your card compare to ours?
Post of the Day:
Supernova Phoenix 1

When Does the Party End?
What was Your Dumbest Investment?
Share it with us -- and learn from others' stories of flubs.
Facebook Fool Fan Club
Be a fan of the Fool over on Facebook!
Community Home
Speak Your Mind, Start Your Blog, Rate Your Stocks

Community Team Fools - who are those TMF's?
Get the Fool Phone App
Save and share content, zero in on sectors, podcasts, and much more!
Contact Us
Contact Customer Service and other Fool departments here.
Work for Fools?
Winner of the Washingtonian great places to work, and "#1 Media Company to Work For" (BusinessInsider 2011)! Have access to all of TMF's online and email products for FREE, and be paid for your contributions to TMF! Click the link and start your Fool career.
Advertisement