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2) Tower of babble of cellular standards

This is probably the worst problem of all because all the investment in infrastructure will eventually have to be scrapped as people demand access to the new services. (which cannot be supported by the old networks) AT&T Wireless is one of the major losers here.

I take a different view on the "standards" problem. While I agree that certain platforms make the task of upgrade more costly, I can't foresee any infrastructure being scrapped. While it may not be suitable for 3G services, it will not be rendered worthless. There's still demand for basic services, it's just a matter of the potential of this equipment to generate revenue as compared to the cost of upgrade offset by the new benefits. Just like our analog phone lines, there may be future uses for what some think is "junk". A more likely scenario in my mind is the typical phasing out over decades.

Just keeping an open mind...

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