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The announcement of the Social Security COLA adjustment is still a couple months away. But a look at the numbers so far suggest that there will be no adjustment.

If I’m remembering right, the present-year, October CPI-W number becomes the basis for calculating the following year’s COLA. Thus, for there to be an adjustment, CPI-W would have to climb from its present 208.774 to above 212.182. But with oil prices backing off and markets beginning to roll over, getting from 208 to above to 212 is hard to envision.

No adjustment would be a very good thing. It will save the US government a lot of money and help toward the recovery. So do your patriotic duty and don’t grumble.

Also, as long at the Treasury can keep interest rates at historic lows, the US government can save on its borrowing costs. So do your patriotic duty and don’t grumble about that, either.

The upside? The recovery is coming soon. Be patient. The government is doing its very best to fix the problems, and life again will soon become the enchanted life of Lake Woebegone, where all investors are winners.

Whee. This investing stuff is easy.
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CPI-W 12-month rolling average
2008 Jan 206.744
Feb 207.254
Mar 209.147
Apr 210.698
May 212.788
Jun 215.223
Jul 216.304
Aug 215.247
Sep 214.935
Oct 212.182
Nov 207.296
Dec 204.813
2009 Jan 205.700 -0.50%
Feb 206.708 -0.26%
Mar 207.218 -0.92%
Apr 207.925 -1.32%
May 208.774 -1.89%
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