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Interesting new forecast of energy productions and imports from Energy Information Administration out to 2040:

AEO2013 Early Release Overview

Net imports of energy decline both in absolute terms and as a share of total U.S. energy consumption in the AEO2013 Reference case (Figure 9). The decline in energy imports reflects increased domestic petroleum and natural gas production, increased use of biofuels (much of which are produced domestically), and demand reductions resulting from rising energy prices and the adoption of new efficiency standards for vehicles. The net import share of total U.S. energy consumption is 9 percent in 2040, compared with 19 percent in 2011 (the share was 30 percent in 2005).

The biggest energy growth area is natural gas followed by oil and nonhydro renewables. 30 years of continual natural gas growth is amazing. A small growth in the nuclear and coal areas. No growth in the hydro area.

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