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The 10 Most Recent Messages By elann

Take me back to where I was.
  • Date: 1/12/19 1:26 PM
  • Number: 273072
  • Recommendations: 3
For no specific reason, I set the cutoff so the top six buckets of this table would count as major bottoms. (as in October and December 2018).

The next two buckets, 7th and 8th, seem very good too, and including them almost doubles
(Continued...)
  • Date: 1/11/19 6:46 PM
  • Number: 273067
  • Recommendations: 11

* 12/24 12/31 1/7 1/14/19
S&P 500 Index 2416.62 2485.74 2531.94 2596.26
Trailing 12 month PE 17.37 17.74 18.07 18.53
Trail Earnings yield 5.76% 5.64%

(Continued...)
  • Date: 1/11/19 5:11 PM
  • Number: 273065
  • Recommendations: 1
THen what? Do you just stay invested while your "preferred" signal stays bearish?
What happens the day the $$$ you "put back in" falls into loss territory AND your "preferred" signal is still
(Continued...)
  • Date: 1/11/19 12:47 PM
  • Number: 273057
  • Recommendations: 1
Somewhere way down the road you may be correct but anytime in the next decade or two I do think it is a new era in the sense that the US simply can't afford high interest rates due to the huge debt payments they have to
(Continued...)
  • Date: 1/10/19 9:25 PM
  • Number: 273053
  • Recommendations: 4
Arezi is very macro-based, and this is a new era of near-zero interest rates that is a different environment than when it was designed.

I don't think this is true. Interest rates have already risen quite a bit above zero and
(Continued...)
  • Date: 1/10/19 9:05 PM
  • Number: 273051
  • Recommendations: 3
So if you sold at 200 and got back in at 201, but were out for the trip down to 100-----do you consider that a failure of the timing system?

Umm, yes.

I don't really care about downturns from which the market recovers to
(Continued...)
  • Date: 1/9/19 5:38 PM
  • Number: 273035
  • Recommendations: 0
Also look at 272808.
  • Date: 1/9/19 5:28 PM
  • Number: 273034
  • Recommendations: 2
Seriously, has Mungofitch's bottom-calling technique been backtested, back to at least 1970 or so? If somebody can provide the buy signals & dates, I can incorporate this into one of my timing backtest spreadsheets and see how it
(Continued...)
  • Date: 1/9/19 3:09 PM
  • Number: 273029
  • Recommendations: 7
What I mean by "both things can't be true" is that you can't get one out of the market during major declines as a result of the macro-type "stop-loss" timing strategies (Arezi, BCC, DM), while at the same time
(Continued...)
  • Date: 1/7/19 5:20 PM
  • Number: 273002
  • Recommendations: 2
Does anyone remember offhand what the conceptual differences were between the different versions of SOS_Elan screens?

Did the last discussion in 2003 ever come to a newer version than v2002?
Has anyone besides myself been looking in

(Continued...)
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Take me back to where I was.
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