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Subject:  Re: Crystal Ball (the future?) Date:  4/20/1998  11:40 AM
Author:  Rayvt Number:  2938 of 96917

Everybody get out their crystal balls and predict the future. I have a
few questions.Will the Foolish Four or one of the other approaches do ok
in a market downturn?

It has not been tested during a long downturn or
recession. The bull market won't go on forever.
__ Yes it has. I posted info on returns broken down by decade and by market condition in the last month on the DDA board.

Will the government screw
up by collecting more revenues now (traditional to Roth IRA conversions)
and run short later and then come after the Roth IRA?
---Depends what you mean by "screw up". If you mean "make a mistake", the answer is no. But if you mean something like "purposely do something other than the stated action", then the answer is "probably yes". The only question is how probable it is. WHen I listen to folks like Gephart, Kennedy, etc. I think this probability is close to 100%.

Will inflation stay
low?What will happen to the stock market when all the boomers start
removing their funds for retirement and when?
Nothing. Money going into the stock market is not the same as money going into a mattress. It's used to produce things. And production is what lets us consume things.

Will social security be
means tested? (I believe so.)Give your opinion and add your own
questions. Answers to these are always helpful.
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