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Subject:  Re: The hocus plan: 4% from 100% FI? Date:  5/1/2003  2:12 PM
Author:  galagan Number:  104968 of 881732

Sorry to keep tossing questions, but I'm curious.

Year 2000 era results, however, should be tremendously improved by the switching, as valuations were dramatically worse than even the 1929 era.

At what point would this strategy have gotten you out of the market? I know that at least some valuation-based models took people out extremely early, and so one missed most of the up-move as well as the down-move.

Also, would this strategy still have you with no stock exposure today even after the significant fall in prices?

I presume there are multiple answers depending on which level you pick to switch, but I'd be curious even with a rough idea of when the switch might have been made.

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