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Subject:  Re: Rate of return for whole portfolio Date:  8/13/2004  5:20 PM
Author:  Watty56 Number:  41973 of 96307

Some of the prior posts generally leaned towards the prediction that the overall market may be generally “yucky” (for the lack of a better term) in the next few years.

I just wanted to point out that the information that they are basing their prognosis on is generally available and already more or less priced into the market. Because of that the best forecast for the broad market returns over the next ten years is “average”.

The bad new though is, I recall a prior post or article that analyzes just how rarely the market has a year with average return for a set period. It was usually much higher or lower.(if someone knows has a link to this, please fee free to post it)

The good news though is that if you are still contributing money towards your retirement then you will bet the benefits of “dollar cost averaging” that will really help your overall performance.


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