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Subject:  Re: 5 Statistics Problems To Change Your View Date:  11/25/2012  8:19 AM
Author:  tim443 Number:  409505 of 567936

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Hmmm. Where to begin? First, the Monty Hall scenario: They have it wrong. You have a one in three chance of being right. You pick a door. One you did not pick is opened, revealing no big prize. The game just changed. It is now a new game, 2 doors, pick one, the odds are 50/50. Change, don't change...it does not change the odds.


Yup!!!

The only possibility I see would be if:

The host says that once you pick a door, he'll open one of the doors you didn't pick to reveal a goat.

....

This is actually based on a real game show, and the result has been the source of controversy for years.


the host was somehow hinting with his actions... which would not be impossible?


Tim
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