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Subject:  Re: Allocation Advice Date:  10/20/2013  10:51 AM
Author:  joelxwil Number:  73619 of 90150

Well here is the thing about market timing. It is no different from knowing when to buy a stock and when to sell it. Just look at the averages for your guidance, instead of an individual stock.

It has nothing to do with having a crystal ball. It is just trend following.

Nobody even claims that he can all the absolute top or bottom. Just that the market tends to trend, and you can follow the trend. Also, your timing does not have to be perfect - just better than buy and hold.

Take a look at timing cube:

Timing cube has been around for some time, and has done well.

I really do not recommend the product, since you can do it yourself, but it is a good example of what can be done with simple trend following. Just look at the record.

Now if you cannot tell when to buy and when to sell a stock, you should not be investing.
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