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Subject:  Re: Tariffs: Is anyone doing a projected P&L? Date:  9/28/2018  6:26 AM
Author:  tim443 Number:  544919 of 575857

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An interesting side effect of the tariffs was mentioned yesterday in my screed on Nat Gas consumption. US based aluminum and steel producers are cranking up production of their normally un-competitive products to try to take advantage of the higher prices due to tariffs which is a large part of the recent increase in Nat gas consumption. They are usually un-competitive operations due to their age and old equipment.


Tariffs on steel and aluminium are creating some winners

But they are not quite the success []rump thinks


There is more substance to the claim that they have brought American furnaces and smelters roaring back to life.


More strikingly, even some of those whom protectionism was supposed to help are grumbling. The loudest complaints are about the inclusion of Canada in the list of countries thwacked by trade barriers, which has damaged a highly integrated economic area. ...


The big question is whether any revival can be sustained. In the short term, tariffs are more likely to bring older, relatively inefficient steel plants back online than to stimulate new long-term investments, for the simple reason that the president could withdraw the tariffs at any moment. The newest aluminium smelter in America is around 40 years old. If primary aluminium production revives sustainably, it will be because American producers can access cheap, reliable energy.

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