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Subject:  Re: Filibuster asymmetry Date:  10/22/2021  6:33 PM
Author:  albaby1 Number:  2365467 of 2381073

I think an omnibus abortion restriction bill such as this would not poll as well as you think, except in red states.

I think it might poll better than you think, except in blue states. There's pretty strong support for a middle ground position on abortion that neither party really pushes for - entirely legal in the first trimester, and mostly illegal in the second and third trimesters:

Restricting taxpayer funding for abortion services also polls very highly:

In every poll, a plurality of Americans opposes public funding of abortions. In every poll but one, that plurality is a majority. The questions vary, but the result is the same. Respondents support “banning federal funding for abortion” except in rape cases or to save the woman’s life (Politico/Morning Consult, 2019). They believe that “government health insurance programs for low-income women, like Medicaid,” should not “cover abortion” (PRRI, 2018). They oppose “using tax dollars to pay for a woman’s abortion” (Marist, 2019). They oppose allowing “Medicaid funds to be used to pay for abortions” (Politico/Harvard, 2016). When they’re told that “the Hyde Amendment prohibits federal funds from being used to fund abortions, except in the case of incest, rape or to save the life of the mother,” they endorse the amendment (YouGov, 2016). These polls aren’t close. The average gap between the pro-funding and anti-funding positions is 19 percentage points.

It's true that sometimes rolling up a bunch of propositions that have strong majority support for the individual components results in an amalgam that's less popular than the sum of its parts. But that almost never slows down the momentum within a party for passing it - so I doubt very much that the GOP would refrain from their omnibus abortion bill when every individual component polls with huge margins.

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