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Cable will not beat ADSL because of connections to one's television. Cable has many issues to overcome in order to allow multiple homes in subdivisions to get uninterrupted video streaming. ADSL is a DEDICATED data channel; you pay for 1M and you get 1M. Cable is a SHARED data channel; you pay for up to 10M and you get:

1 user - up to 10M
2 users - up to 5M
5 " - up to 2M
10 " - up to 1M
100 " - up to 100k -> not enough for Video streaming

If you have ever been on a LAN with a T1 at work and everyone starts to surf the net at lunchtime, you'll know what I mean about a SHARED data channel. Getting to TMF takes a while.

I'm not saying the infrastructure won't be arranged such that everyone has the potential to get 1M. I am saying that the true problems will become prominent when 50+ users on the same cable span in a subdivision access the net with their cable modems and they all want to watch Baywatch.

Also VoIP is going to be HUGE in about 3-4 years. The telcos are not going to give up that fight easily.


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