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I found chapter 5 absolutely fascinating as the author finally got into one of the things that make superforecasters so great - not their intelligence or knowledge per se, but their process of constantly looking at everything from multiple angles.

How do you think we as investors can apply the insights of chapter five? A few thoughts and questions:

1. For me, I think I fall into the trap of subconsciously evading questions by replacing them with easier questions. How can we actively avoid doing this? Just practice?

2. I was floored by the fact that writing down and coming back to your own thesis, and deliberately trying to poke holes in it was almost just as effective as having a separate person do it! Thankfully we have the Fool community to help sharpen our ideas, but wow, I didn't think people could actually do this themselves so effectively as I thought for sure it would be biased.

3. I also related to the "wandering in the forest of information" to be a problem for myself. Especially with today's resources I think investors can get caught in the trap of right away googling all kinds of stats and endlessly searching for semi-related market info without first setting up a research goal of the questions you want answered and why.

4. Finally, if good forecasters take take the "dragonfly eye" approach, and constantly say "On the other hand..." how do they actually weigh these different angles or finally come to a conclusion? It seems like you might just be wandering in a forest again.
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