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From Reuters, November 25:

OSLO (Reuters) - China’s greenhouse gas emissions will increase in 2020 compared to 2019 as they have rebounded after the COVID-19 outbreak, the head of the International Energy Agency said on Wednesday.

“As of today, Chinese emissions this year, 2020, will be higher than in 2019, they rebounded,” Fatih Birol told a digital energy conference organised by Norwegian oil firm Equinor.

Regarding China’s oil demand, Birol said the IEA expected it to be “slightly higher” this year than it was last year. For gas demand, it would be “much higher” in 2020 compared to 2019.


As a reminder, China is by far the largest CO2 emitting country, accounting for 29% of total fossil fuel CO2 emissions in 2019 (including Hong Kong).
From the BP Statistical Review of Energy...

Largest emitters, fossil fuel CO2, in 2019
Megatonnes CO2 Percent world share
China 9920.5 29.0%
US 4964.7 14.5
EU 3330.4 9.7
India 2480.4 7.3
Russia 1532.6 4.5
Japan 1123.1 3.3

It looks like China's percent share will likely increase in next year's report. US emissions will likely be down this year, perhaps around 10%. It is still too early to tell for certain, from the information I have.

- Pete
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