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Climate-change Computer Models Fail Again — and Again, and Again

December 2012

GIGO, for garbage-in, garbage-out is a basic principle of computing and/or decision-making which holds that the validity or integrity of the input will determine the validity or integrity of the output. Which is why first-year computer students are taught to check and recheck their input data and assumptions. It is not unreasonable, therefor to expect the same of seasoned scientists with multiple letters after their names, utilizing some of the most sophisticated and expensive computers and operating out of prestigious universities and laboratories. Especially when taxpayers are underwriting their work and the studies produced by their computer models are the basis for far-reaching public policies that will dramatically impact those taxpayers, as well as all of society.

However, when it comes to the theory of anthropogenic (human-caused) global warming, or AGW, the GIGO principle appears to be the norm. The so-called mainstream media (MSM) never seem to tire of headlining scary scenarios of climate catastrophe brought on by AGW, based on the latest projections generated by computer modeling of atmospheric temperatures, ocean temperatures, sea levels, glaciers, rain fall, extreme storms, etc. The same media organs, however, rarely report on the many scientific studies that regularly debunk the schlocky — and often outright fraudulent — computer models

Hockey Schtick on December 10 also reported:

A paper published today in Geophysical Research Letters examines surface air temperature trends in the Eurasian Arctic region and finds "only 17 out of the 109 considered stations have trends which cannot be explained as arising from intrinsic [natural] climate fluctuations" and that "Out of those 17, only one station exhibits a warming trend which is significant against all three null models [models of natural climate change without human forcing]." Climate alarmists claim that the Arctic is "the canary in the coal mine" and should show the strongest evidence of a human fingerprint on climate change, yet these observations in the Arctic show that only 1 out of 109 weather stations showed a warming trend that was not explained by the natural variations in the 3 null climate models.


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No. of Recommendations: 0
You've done it again;)

You will not get more than 3-4 recs total. No funding, no stars or accolades.

There's nowhere you can go in public circles and have a friendly conversation without giving even a passing reference to Global Warming.

Funny story.

I was at a beachfront bar ion Florida, and decided to have some fun. Cute young waitress said It's a hot sunny day. I replied "yes it is, the ice in the glass melts far faster than before manmade global warming took hold".

She says "Yes, it's quite bad now.!"

You can score points and smiles (far more up North), when you nod your head approvingly as these remarkably smart young people empty their brain databases about everything from riding bicycles to driving a Prius. We've even given up a third or more of our roadways in this mostly-winter climate for bike lanes.

A couple of major routes, which had four lanes (2 each direction), have been reduced to 2 lanes so we could enjoy wide bike lanes on each side. Never mind that nobody bikes in this climate 7-8 months a year. But a problem developed. Someone, some real nasty Republican-type, wrote a letter to the Editor. This nasty person noted that these main routes were the only viable NS/EW routes. They are both heavily travelled roads. After these wondrous changes for bikes, traffic has been tied up daily. Traffic is seen stopped at lights and near stores, as the single lanes have slowed down traffic.

I was alarmed to the point of tears, when I realized that by traveling these two roads, my Carbon Footprint could possibly lead to the melting of icebergs, and further man-made GLOBAL WARMING! Why on earth would these people force the traffic to cram into a single lane, slowing down people to their worst mpg rates, and even, (GASP) IDLING. (idling is a ticketable offense in this Liberal enclave of higher learning).

I am shocked.
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