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US Stats

According to the Weekly Epidemiological Report released Wednesday from the World Health Organization, the United States reported more new cases of Covid-19 in the last week than any other country. New cases in the Americas, a WHO region that includes North, South, and Central America, accounted for 30% of global new cases reported last week, according to WHO.

Roughly 49.8% of the total US population have been fully vaccinated against Covid-19, according to the latest data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Here is some more data from the CDC:

Not vaccinated: 32.1% of the eligible US population (ages 12 and older).

Current pace of vaccinations (seven-day average): 445,691 people are initiating vaccination each day.
This seven-day average of new vaccinations has topped 400,000 a day for nearly a week.
This is a 17% increase over last week’s pace.

An average of 677,279 doses are being administered each day.

20 states have fully vaccinated more than half of their residents: California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont, Virginia, Washington and Wisconsin, as well as Washington, DC.

Alabama and Mississippi are the only states to have fully vaccinated less than 35% of residents.

The Delta variant now accounts for an estimated 93.4% of coronavirus circulating in the United States, according to figures published by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Coronavirus-related hospitalizations are up 13% from Florida’s previous peak on July 23, 2020, according to the Florida Hospital Association. FHA said they expect 60% of hospitals in the state to face a “critical staffing shortage” in the next 7 days.

According to a press release Tuesday, there are currently 11,515 patients hospitalized with Covid-19 in the Sunshine State. FHA reports 84% of all in patients beds and 86.5% of ICU beds are currently occupied.

According to FHA, of those hospitalized with Covid-19, 21% are in the ICU and 13% are on ventilators.

The American Academy of Pediatrics counted 71,726 new cases from July 22 to 29. That is a “substantial” increase from the nearly 39,000 cases reported a week before, and five times as many kids who were sick at the end of June. The definition of a child varies by state but generally includes those up to age 17 or 18.

In Louisiana, rates of positivity in our children has gone up significantly from less than 2% in our 0-to-19-year-olds about six weeks ago to now 23% positivity rate in our kids in the community in just six weeks time," Baumgarten, medical director of infection control and prevention at Ochsner Health, said

PROJECTIONS:

Covid-19 hospitalizations and deaths are likely to increase over the next four weeks, according to ensemble forecasts published Wednesday by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

When it comes to Covid-19 cases, the agency says that its forecast should be interpreted with caution — since actual numbers have fallen outside the range of previous predictions. CDC’s latest forecast predicts 350,000 to 1,800,000 new cases during the week ending Aug. 28.

“Over the last several weeks, more reported cases have fallen outside of the forecasted prediction intervals than expected. This suggests that current forecast prediction intervals may not capture the full range of uncertainty,” said CDC. “Because of this, case forecasts for the coming weeks should be interpreted with caution.”
The forecast predicts a total of 624,000 to 642,000 deaths will be reported by Aug. 28.

The previous forecast, published July 28, projected up to 633,000 deaths by Aug. 21.

According to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University, there have been 614,342 coronavirus deaths in the United States.

The forecast predicts that there will be 6,700 to 24,000 new confirmed Covid-19 hospital admissions likely reported on Aug. 30.

GLOBAL Stats

More than 200 million cases of Covid-19 have been reported globally, according to data from Johns Hopkins University.

Three countries account for more than 40% of cases:

United States: 35,292,721 cases (18% of total global cases)
India: 31,769,132 cases (16% of total global cases)
Brazil: 19,985,817 cases (10% of total global cases)
The World Health Organization declared coronavirus a pandemic on March 11, 2020.

Since then:

The first 50 million cases were reported by Nov. 7, 2020.
By Jan. 26, 80 days later, there were 100 million global cases.
By April 29, 93 days later, there were 150 million.
Now, 97 days after that, there are a total of 200,014,602 reported cases of Covid-19 worldwide and at least 4,252,873 deaths.

Globally, about 2.3 billion people have received at least one dose of Covid-19 vaccine, and about 1.2 billion people are fully vaccinated, according to Our World in Data.

Other stories:

The Wisconsin Department of Health Services (WDHS) has connected at least 491 positive cases of Covid-19 to people who gathered in Milwaukee’s Deer District to cheer on their hometown Bucks throughout their historic playoff run and NBA Finals victory.

Just days after hundreds of thousands of people gathered for the four-day Lollapalooza festival in Chicago’s Grant Park, a September festival in nearby Hyde Park has been canceled due to concerns over Covid-19, organizers announced Wednesday.

The New York International Auto show, set for later this month, was canceled by organizers on Wednesday due to an increasing number of cases of the Covid-19 Delta variant and the local measures used to combat them.

Jeff
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Has anyone been able to tease out a morality rate by age group of the Delta Variant. My first inclination is that it is impossible, but real Mathematicians have found ways of proving things that I can only understand once the pound the solutions into my head.

Cheers
Qazulight
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In general, while the hospitalization rate has remained pretty constant, the availability of a number of successful therapies, have, I suspect, reduced the fatality rate significantly from the early days. That makes linear extrapolation a faulty assumption.

It's easy enough to work backwards from deaths to hospitalizations to tested cases - offsetting by appropriate time lags between each. The numbers we are not being given by the CDC is the group of statistics regarding the percentage of breakthrough infections (I think they are only capturing those who are hospitalized).

This forces us to use Israeli data on a proportional basis. The fact that Israel has decided to start deploying booster shots to those over 60 as well as immunosuppressed people, etc. should be a signal of what will (or at least should) shortly take place.

Jeff
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It is really sad that America, the country with the most access to the Covid vaccine, is among the Top 3 in Covid cases. Really, really sad.


On a more positive note, Tanzania, whose previous President was a Covid denier, received a donation of 1M Covid vaccines from the US, and there seems to be an orderly distribution in place.
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No. of Recommendations: 4
It is really sad that America, the country with the most access to the Covid vaccine, is among the Top 3 in Covid cases.

Don't forget to adjust for population.
For example, new 7dMA cases per 100,000:

United States 28.5
France 33.1
United Kingdom 39.4
Spain 45.4

DB2
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https://mishtalk.com/economics/70-in-us-have-at-least-1-vacc...

Who are the vaccination holdouts?

70 percent of adults have at least one shot, including 90 percent of seniors with at least one shot.
In the past few weeks there's been nearly 70 percent increase in the average number of new people getting vaccinated each and every day.
In the last seven days 3 million Americans have gotten their first shot. That’s the highest seven-day totals since July 4th.

Three in ten adults remain unvaccinated including one in ten who say they want to “wait and see” how the vaccine works for other people before getting vaccinated and 3% who say they will do so “only if required” (down from 6% in June).
An additional 14% say they will “definitely not” get a vaccine, a share that has held relatively steady since December.


The hardcore antivaxxers has remained constant (14-15%) since December 2020. As indicated above the “only if required” has dropped 50%. And the “wait and see” segment has dropped by a third since April 2021 when the Covid vaccine became widely available. The vast portion of the US population appears convinced that the Covid vaccine is safe & effective. It is just a matter of time until 75-80% of Americans have received both shots.

The US is close to requiring that international travelers to our nation be required to show proof of vaccination in order to enter the United States. Methinks the US should vaccinate all that enter the nation illegally but are caught as there is a surplus supply of the Covid vaccine.
https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/u-developing-plan-require-co...
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Methinks the US should vaccinate all that enter the nation illegally but are caught as there is a surplus supply of the Covid vaccine.

We're in such short supply of construction workers, landscapers, and personal caregivers, we ought to help them get settled and comfortable. However, that doesn't mean we should invite disease into our midst.

If we're going to reward lawlessness with a welcome mat and a bus ticket to a US city of their choice, the least we could ask is that they submit to vaccination to stop spreading the plague.
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