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The wastewater viral load graphs are at https://biobot.io/data/ .

A few weeks ago, I thought that the current surge was at or near the peak. Unfortunately, the wastewater viral load has increased further.

For the nation as a whole, the wastewater viral load is 7 times higher than that of the March low and 10 times higher than that of this time last year.

The current wastewater viral load is at the highest level since early February and is even with that of last November. The current wastewater viral load is closing in on the levels prevailing at the peak of late August/early September of last year, the peak of December 2020/January 2021, and the peak of April 2020.

Yet everyone is behaving as if the pandemic is over.

Remember, you cannot count on the official case counts given the cutbacks in official testing. Even if you could, case counts are a lagging indicator. Hospitalizations, ICU admissions, and deaths lag even further behind.

Most importantly of all, there is no reliable data on Long COVID, which seems to be much more common than hospitalizations. So far, the medical establishment has not figured out the mechanisms behind Long COVID, which means that it cannot tell us how to stop COVID from becoming Long COVID or cure Long COVID.

Last summer, I went to see fireworks with friends, played sports, went to a parade, and went to a county fair. (I was masked up, however.) I wouldn't do these things under today's wastewater viral load unless there were a way to stop the mechanisms that turn COVID into Long COVID.
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Important news that will be ignored.

Covid proves what anger about curbing GCC merely suggested, the USA body politic is having a terrible twos moment, or worse, epoch.

"NNnoooooooooooOOOOOOOOooooooo! I Don't Wanna!"


david fb
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Michigan releases new case numbers on Wednesday.

New cases since start of weekly updates

April 13: 7,725 new cases
April 20: 10,474 new cases
April 27: 14,482 new cases
May 4: 18,945 new cases
May 11: 27,705 new cases
May 18: 29,267 new cases


https://www.clickondetroit.com/health/2022/05/18/michigan-re...

The best I can say is it appears the change in the rate of change is falling.

Almost everywhere I go, I am about the only person wearing a mask.

Steve
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Important news that will be ignored.

Covid proves what anger about curbing GCC merely suggested, the USA body politic is having a terrible twos moment, or worse, epoch.

"NNnoooooooooooOOOOOOOOooooooo! I Don't Wanna!"



david fb

Thanks david, I looked at the total CIVID deaths by nation yesterday ... was trying to think of a polite way to ask.

Tim

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1093256/novel-coronaviru...
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Tim,

The stats on that link are doctored.

The Chinese wont admit a single thing about case numbers now.

The Indians during Delta may have lost 1.6 million people.

The numbers are estimated now to be 15 million higher globally than reported. However that gets factored in it does not include the US.
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No. of Recommendations: 1
Important news that will be ignored.

Covid proves what anger about curbing GCC merely suggested, the USA body politic is having a terrible twos moment, or worse, epoch.

"NNnoooooooooooOOOOOOOOooooooo! I Don't Wanna!"


46 countries around the world have dropped masking requirements from most places including their airplane flights. Only a few countries still have masking requirements anywhere.

Many countries have dropped the testing requirement for entrance across a border crossing. The USA has NOT dropped that requirement yet.
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