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Flattening the curve is likely better for the short-run, it is certainly true.

A lockdown strong enough to get the active case count falling is the only moral choice,

I thoroughly disagree, and here's why:

The long-term health of Americans may have been better served to keep functioning as normal outside of high-outbreak areas [since 80% of us will get it over a couple of years anyway, according to the experts], and thus making us non-infectious much sooner than later [and able to go visit our parents/grandparents instead of letting them suffer in solitude], and also developing herd immunity for everyone else.

There is absolutely no data or analysis that 'flattening the curve' by staying inside for weeks or months is a superior solution, that's why all those graphs you see of a flattening curve have no numbers on them and no Dates on them either.
It's all theory and hand-waving which could kill more people in the long-run as wave 2 hits and wave 3 hits after that, and so on. You simply don't know and cannot make moral proclamations about either strategy without facts.

The problem is, no politician would be willing to take the short-term popularity hit of having overcrowded ICUs for any length of time, which still might happen anyway without any of the economic and health benefits of people living as normal who choose to do so [of course you can stay in your house as long as you wish esp if you're over 60].

Sadly, most elected politicians prefer to act like little Napoleons and take away our freedoms whilst issuing dictatorial decrees with no evidence their policies are even helping, rather than hurting the population [high outbreak areas like King and Westchester County should still be under quarantine of course.]


Naj

ps my county of almost a million will have been under the Gov's recommended shutdown for two weeks starting tomorrow and quarantine for almost as long. It's going to be at least another 5-7 days here.

Total deaths so far: 1.
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