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No. of Recommendations: 4
galeno: With 135 years of data. There are 105 THIRTY YEAR ROLLING PERIODS!!! Each and every one is an INDEPENDANT DATA POINT.

Ben: This is pure BS. There are 105 thirty year periods, but they are far from independant. Periods with adjacent start years share 29 years out of 30: or 97% of their makeup is the same. There is very strong auto correlation of SWR from year to year, and there is significant autocorrelation even 15 years out.

galeno: Only THIRTY data points are needed to make this a statistically significant study.

Ben: And what hat did you pull that number out of?

galeno: Intercst has done statistical OVERKILL (by a factor of 3.5) on his statistically significant SWR study.

Ben: As markr33 pointed out, intercst has done no statistical analysis of the study to determine the significance of it, and he has said as much in the past.

Galeno's rant reminded me of Bluto's speech to rally the Delta House in the movie Animal House ("... was it over when the German's bombed Pearl Harbor?").


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