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No. of Recommendations: 4
Naj,

Just wanted to give a belated thanks here to your technical thoughts over the last year or so on Keurig.

I've been struggling with position sizes on my shorts since I took it in the... ahh shorts... on a few poorly (too large) sized shorts last year (GMCR being just one)... had I been able to stomach the M2M losses on all of them I would be up an additional 10% so far this year... but I digress.

Anywho, GMCR I lightened up (near the top of course) to get it back to a sleep-at-night size as part of the clean out last year, but I did add back / top up the weighting in my account rebalancing in Q1 (right around $127 IIRC)... it just seemed too good from all angles. Appreciate all your thoughts.

Now looking to close but not sure when... we'll see. I think the stock could easily leak another 20% but not sure those 20 points belong to me.

Glad that even with my pansy-a$$ poor timing in 2H '14 buying back a block of GMCR at above $140, I'm still well in the black on the trade, in a rising market none-the-less (fun tidbit that I opened the short initially right before the KO announcement... LOL... but then kept adding).

The US market seems quite complacent to me and a lot of the names that folks were flogging as shorts for years while their faces were melted off by the new math of 2% discount rates 4Ever are now ripe for a pounding in selected areas at least.

Keep your wits about you kids.

On a related note, anybody have any ideas of shorts? Any vector is interesting to me; boring business with new competition on the horizon (or here now), wickedly overvalued good businesses, etc etc.

I only have a few small individual shorts right now outside of GMCR (FXCM, & CRM + 2 others that are more special sit type things)... always interested to hear others ideas.

Ben
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