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>>Simmons visited Ghawar personally..spoke with and got info from the people there
>>(while researching for his book) I think it's fair to say he "knows something"

I am looking for a higher standard than "Knows Something". I have spoken with people who have actual experience modeling Ghawar reserves, back when Americans did that job, and Simmons does not have credibility with them.

>>Also he has generally not be just calling the Saudis out and out liars...
>>he even appears on a panel WITH the Saudi reps ( CSIS event as I recall, posted many months back
>>on so has been polite with them face to face.....

Whatever goodwill he had at that time, he has reversed. Simmons has gone on record as saying something that deeply offends the Saudi community, there are no cordial relations there now. At a recent reservoir conference in the Middle East, it would have been possible to have Simmons there, it would have been possible to have the Saudis there, but it would be impossible to have both present. The Saudis would pull out rather than appear in the same venue as Simmons.

So the guy makes enemies, that much is clear. Does that make him smart, or not-so-smart? One is led to choose between a conspiracy theory and discounting Simmons. The former would be true if indeed the Saudis were deceiving the world and Simmons held the banner of truth. Myself I am inclined to think Simmons is a self-important consultant who has arrived at a scare story and wants to promote it for all the money and fame it it worth.

Hope this helps -- C44
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