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Here are some recent estimates in that range:

2010 Kohler et al. 2.4°C ...

DrBob, correct me if I'm wrong, but I think your list is estimated climate sensitivity to a doubling of CO2, usually from preindustrial levels?

BJ, on the other hand, I think, is talking about estimated total warming warming, for which a goal of 2C or less has been set, but is looking unlikely given recent emission trends.
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