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Hi AT,

I can't fault your argument given the definition that you have chosen to use. One further conclusion if I may. You are better off making money having made the 'wrong' decision than making the 'right' decision and losing out on future gains.(Using my proposed definitions)

On the other hand if I comprehend Saul's Knowledge Base philosophy correctly one must make a decision based on ones evaluation of the best available info. Hindsight is irrelevant because one looks forward not backward.

IMHO Saul is successful because his evaluation of available info is typically quicker and better than most other folks.
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