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I am no climate scientist, but Goddard's own chart appears to show a lower minimum for 2012 than 2011, which is lower than the 2010 minimum, which is lower than the 2009 minimum, all of which are lower than the mean of the minimums running from 1979-2000.

After reading Loren's prognostications and Andrew's follow up in recent years, I am going with an ice free minimum by 2017. But unlike Loren and Andrew who appear to understand the science and the math, I am just making it up. Maybe we should have a poll:
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